Many think that oil price drop

来源: uptrend 2005-10-05 11:27:46 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (711 bytes)
can help the market, but the fact is on the contrary. Why?
The reason is Energy Sector has been extremely strong for such a long time that it becomes the strongest support sector to the market. When oil price drop suddenly and the sector shows obvious weakness, market will lose its #1 bullish support. It is not easy for the tons of money deeply rolled into Energy sector to get out in days to enter into other sectors. So the time period before new #1 bullish sector appears, market will be very weak.
Conclution: Oil price drop will not help market in short term. Unless the oil price crashes, market will not get real benifit from that in mid term as well, although some rebounce will appear.

所有跟帖: 

The prez represents the oil -大乌鸦嘴- 给 大乌鸦嘴 发送悄悄话 (158 bytes) () 10/05/2005 postreply 11:37:09

Bush gets the lowest support -uptrend- 给 uptrend 发送悄悄话 (160 bytes) () 10/05/2005 postreply 11:44:32

good point. Learned something -backtolife- 给 backtolife 发送悄悄话 (16 bytes) () 10/05/2005 postreply 11:52:05

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