Jaden关于湾区妹妹的分析靠谱

来源: 慕容秋水 2015-01-28 22:58:32 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (2267 bytes)

关于湾区妹妹的房,Jaden的这个贴最靠谱   http://bbs.wenxuecity.com/tzlc/968690.html

以下是Jaden的分析:

“Her 2003 first house (50W) is primary residence in Fremont, turned to rental once bought palo alto (110W) in 2009. Both started as primary residence so can't call them investment. Many two-income families have similar story in silicon valley --- Nothing special.

Her 2006/2007 buys are in china. Hit jackpot --- is that investment or gamble? But, winner takes all.

Her 2010-2015 only have two low value Brentwood houses to show --- to me that's under-performing in bay area with >$350k/yr income. BTW Brentwood is kind of outside bay area, so she is in bay area but really not investing in bay area.

WQMM is amazing on her career though. But I don't agree admiring her as a sophisticated RE investor. ”

2005, 2006年在中国买的房有4-6倍涨幅可以说到处都是。 需要有买房的决心和勇气, 但并不需要具体挑房的智慧。
投资主要是有意愿有决心,天时地利人和,机遇和运气很重要。 不能一味的归于luck,也不必过于抬高个人因素。


下面是湾区妹妹自述的8房情况:
 

July 2003   bought at 50w, current  115w

Dec. 2005   bought at 30w, current 192w

April 2006 bought at 7w, current  29w

April 2006  bought at 7w, current 29w

Oct. 2009  bought at 112w, current 230w

June 2011, bought at 13w, current 14 w (the only and the worst investment I made, commercial not residential), will sell very soon.

Jan. 2012, bought at 17w, current 32w

July 2012, bought at 20w, current 38w

 

所有跟帖: 

运气也确实好。 -PineRock- 给 PineRock 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/28/2015 postreply 23:01:22

没必要花心思分析,真有时间计划一下自己的励志目标,很有可能也是下一个成功故事,不过到时候你还在意别人的 -soccer88- 给 soccer88 发送悄悄话 soccer88 的博客首页 (12 bytes) () 01/28/2015 postreply 23:02:55

没什么矛盾 -慕容秋水- 给 慕容秋水 发送悄悄话 (128 bytes) () 01/28/2015 postreply 23:05:55

应该就是这样的,我看了她的数字就想那两个大数字的美国房子是自住房升级,我自己也是这样的, -mimibird- 给 mimibird 发送悄悄话 (234 bytes) () 01/28/2015 postreply 23:13:45

对头,我的自住好几米,换来换去增到几米很正常。 -dlzw- 给 dlzw 发送悄悄话 (138 bytes) () 01/29/2015 postreply 04:49:13

估计只有硅谷这样吧,很多地方几M的房子carry cost很贵,每年各种费用(cash buy, exclude mort)加起 -goodschool1- 给 goodschool1 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/29/2015 postreply 05:54:54

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