daily rebalancing causes something called “beta slippage”, 哈哈,终

来源: 美西游子 2012-07-20 08:39:00 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (11129 bytes)

 

 

Leveraged ETFs head toward zero – eventually

来源:2012-07-19 14:38:30[] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读:298次

ETFs have become a popular investing instrument for retail investors, but leveraged ETFs come with dangers for investors who don't know how they work.

A leveraged ETF doesn't follow the long-term performance of an underlying index; it is built to follow the DAILY performance of an underlying index. This means that when you do the math, the leveraged ETF will eventually deteriorate in value as long as the underlying index moves up and down over time.

How come?   Take a look at the graph below of two reference indexes and two leveraged ETFs that provide leveraged returns of the referenced index. 

 

The concept of leveraged ETFs may seem very straightforward at first glance. However, this is actually a very tricky trade because leveraged ETFs “rebalance” daily. In other words, all price movements are calculated on a percentage basis for that day and that day only. The next day you start all over from scratch.

Here’s an example of how daily rebalancing causes something called “beta slippage”, which can wreak havoc with your expected profit and loss calculations and leave you with worse-than-expected returns.

Imagine you pay $100 for one share of a 2x leveraged ETF based on an index that’s currently at 10,000. That same day, the index goes up 10% and closes at 11,000. As a result, your share will increase 20% to $120. So far so good, right? 

 Here’s the catch: now imagine you hold onto the leveraged ETF overnight, and continue to hold it all through the next day’s trading session. If the index goes back down from 11,000 to 10,000, that’s a decrease of 9.09%, so your 2x leveraged ETF will go down 18.18% for the day.

 That probably doesn’t sound so bad, since the price was up 20% the previous day. However, 18.18% of $120 is $21.82, so your share price will end up at $98.18. Even though the index wound up exactly where it started, your trade is down 1.82% because you held onto it for multiple trading sessions.

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  • 所有跟帖: 

    昨天就是看了你的这个贴受启发了。还有些好奇。 -人不理财财不理人- 给 人不理财财不理人 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 07/20/2012 postreply 08:40:51

    it's that simple. -美西游子- 给 美西游子 发送悄悄话 美西游子 的博客首页 (599 bytes) () 07/20/2012 postreply 08:44:03

    谢谢。 -人不理财财不理人- 给 人不理财财不理人 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 07/20/2012 postreply 08:45:47

    nugt -美西游子- 给 美西游子 发送悄悄话 美西游子 的博客首页 (96 bytes) () 07/20/2012 postreply 08:47:39

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