Here is the odds:

来源: 于 2007-09-04 09:45:02 [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读：次

New home starts 30% down: History says 9/10 chance of recession.

Home price down for consequtively 1.5 years: History says 9/10 chance of recession.

All of above are not even considering the credit crunch that's spreading across wall street.

The only hope is that 1 chance out of 10, very high? You make your own decision.