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Gold prices typically rise during economic uncertainty, high inflation, geopolitical turmoil, and periods of a weakening US dollar, acting as a safe haven; seasonally, January, August, and September are often strong months, while summer (June/July) can see dips, leading to potential buying opportunities. Central bank purchases and expectations of lower interest rates also drive prices up. 

 

Economic & Geopolitical Factors (Long-Term/Event-Driven)

• Inflation: Gold is a hedge against rising prices, so it tends to climb when inflation outpaces interest rates.
• Economic Uncertainty/Recession: During market volatility or fear of recession, investors flee to gold as a reliable store of value.
• Dollar Weakness: A weaker US dollar makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, increasing demand and price.
• Geopolitical Instability: Conflicts and tensions drive investors to gold as a safe haven, as seen recently with global events.
• Lower Interest Rates: When central banks cut rates, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold decreases, making it more attractive.