司令担心股市腰斩,4%只拿一半,商务舱改做经济舱。这是个误解

来源: 2025-09-14 21:43:10 [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读:

提上来讲一下。 问过AI

4% Rule Core Definition

  • In the first year of retirement, you withdraw 4% of your total retirement portfolio balance.

  • Every year after that, you withdraw the same dollar amount adjusted for inflation (not 4% of the new balance).

所以不存在腰斩的问题。

我以前有算过,过去三十年 每年拿第一年的4%(比如你有1M, 那你每年都拿4万)三十年后股市涨跌起伏。 买SPY,最后还是有一米。