TQQQ有Volatility Decay. 解释见内

来源: 2024-08-17 10:10:25 [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读:

ZT:

Its "Volatility decay" is a mathematical concept that basically says that increasing drawdowns require exponentially increasing returns to break even.

For example.

Lets say for the sake of this example both QQQ and TQQQ have a stock price of 100.

Lets say QQQ goes down 25%, TQQQ will go down 75%. QQQ is now 75 and TQQQ is now 25

A 25% drawdown requires 32% return to break even and a 75% drawdown requires a 300% return to break even.

Lets say QQQ has a 32% return. TQQQ will have a 96% return.

QQQ is now at 100, but TQQQ is at about 48

So even tho QQQ recovered, TQQQ is still at a loss, it "decayed" roughly 50%

Extrapolate this example to daily rebalancing over a long period of time.

Bascically the difference between the recover of QQQ after a drawdown and the "missing" recovery of TQQQ is the "decay" amount.