邏輯的線索其實也是分主次的，發現主線靠的是認知力而不是邏輯本身(否則就成了邏輯的邏輯了)。以當下的以沙戰争為例：

I think Israel has no chance of victory in the long term even if it is capable of occupying Gaza (and most likely it will occupy at least the northern part of it). My main logic is straightforward: the whole event is part of the decomposition of the global framework of power which is the result of western colonialism. I believe this is the main history of the world in the decades to come. Unless this judgement of mine is false, otherwise Israel can not have a lone win.

Yet, how the course of the war will go? I do not know, since it involves too many secondary logics that would create numerous possible paths to the single endpoint.