Then it would be terrible investment, to put all your eggs

in a pretty but very fragile basket without testing to hold even 2 eggs. No successful investors ever did that. Most of the burned investors were making the same mistake - confident that they landed a winner, but instead a pretender. Google was far less promising than the other guys, and Obama's hype makes him more of a broadvision than a google, according to your analogy. Just my 2 cents.