Nobody really believes that China GDP per capita in 1978

来源: panlm_ 2018-06-23 11:31:40 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (2305 bytes)
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回答: 比较GDP桃花源主2018-06-23 08:49:35
was ~$150 US, if he or she has a basic knowledge how the economy works.

Last year (2017), China GDP per capita was ~$9200 US based on the official exchange rate. However, this figure was much underestimated if annual electricity consumption per capita (AECPC) is considered. Last year, China AECPC was 4500 kwh, while USA was 11000 kwh. This indicates that the USA was 2.5 times the China AECPC, suggesting that USA GPD per capita ($ 59500) in 2017 should be also 2.5 times the China counterpart given the physical law is correct. However, a contradiction arises when comparing the official GPD per capita of USA to China, $59500 versus $9200, i.e. the USA 6.5 times higher than the China.

The conclusion is 1) the China GDP per capita in 2017 was much underestimated if the UAS figure and physical are right.
                             2) China GDP per capita in 2017 must be $23800 (i.e. $59500 is divided by 2.5 = $23800), rather than the 
                                 officially  announced figure $9200.
                             3) Similarly, China GDP per capita in 1978 was also much underestimated.

This simple finding may raise interests of many people including the main-stream economists in both USA and China because the physical law cannot lie. Therefore, China 2017 total GDP should be $32.6 trillions US, that is even higher than the figure based on PPP - $23.5 trillions.

DATA are from the CIA World Factbook website.
 
                               

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1978年是配给制,住房、看病、读书都不算钱 -勿来三- 给 勿来三 发送悄悄话 勿来三 的博客首页 (174 bytes) () 06/23/2018 postreply 12:06:02

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