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SEC short ban and impact to SKF and SEF

(2008-09-21 10:46:12) 下一个

        Many people asked me about this question, so I think it is easy for me to answer once here instead answer many times seperately.  There are already some professional articles regarding this topic, please refer those articles.

Here is what I think about this question:
Short Ban has negtive impact  to SKF, SEF  and all financial short ETFs. It drys up liquidity and increase the cost of trading. You may pay more for SKF, SEF ETFs and calls at same intrinsic value. SKF also has down side risk because of that.  But this will be short term. Short Ban will expire on 10/2.  I don't think it will ban forever. Because it will hurt Financials for the long run as much as benefit from it. IT destroys market integrity. It will also increase market volatility without short and put hedge. Just remember, short and put are hedge tools. Most institutions use them as hedge for their long position. If they can not use those tool, the only way to deal with down side risk is sell their long position.  Look at China market, no short allowed there, but market drop 70% from the top before this rally , much more severe and volatile than US market. Shorts and puts are also potencial buying power.

For SKF holder ( I also hold it), sell covered call will be good way to protect short term down side risk, because SKF calls are so fat that the near money call even worth about 20% stock price. So you have 20% down side protection without selling your SKF.  But the side effect by doing this is you may give up the chance to make quick money if SKF sharply raise.


Take care.

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pisces-hk 回复 悄悄话 Many thanks for your articles. it's a must-read for me.

if 置顶 is necessary, you should not worry about bad people in "大千". I'm sure that most 大千 readers are appreciating your work.
wavePlayer 回复 悄悄话 回复new88的评论:没关系,不理就是了。大多数是好的。我已经习惯了被人无端攻击。已经免疫了。只要不牵扯到我的fans, 我都不会做辩解的,浪费时间。
wavePlayer 回复 悄悄话 回复SF9592的评论: i don't know exactly reason. But I think it may related 19 financial stocks short ban before SEC new short ban.
new88 回复 悄悄话 老大,辛苦了,建议你别帖到"大千"置顶上去,因为那有的人太可怕了.
SF9592 回复 悄悄话 Thank you Laoda! I have a question which I think some one has already raised before.That is, why SKF only peaked at about 150 last week while it hit as high as 200 in mid-July? Meanwhile UYG has similar lows at these two dips. Is it because the shares are diluted or something?
whiteoak 回复 悄悄话 Thanks as always, admire you!
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