AUDJPY which is the primary recipient of the USD funding largese
The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised rates to 4.75%, more than the consensus expected, and the result is a surge in all AUD, crosses, especially the critical AUDJPY which is the primary recipient of the USD funding largese, and is the primary correlation to the ES, meaning futures are likely to follow suit, especially since there will be no monetary tightening in the dollar in this lifetime under the current Fed syndicate. It appears the RBA has bought the decoupling theory hook, line and sinker, and with China refusing to combat inflationary forces domestically, it is up to its derivative economies (AUD, BRL, etc) to do so. Nonetheless, one must respect the RBA's concern about what inflation may do to its economy: "the economy is now subject to a large expansionary shock from the high terms of trade and has relatively modest amounts of spare capacity. Looking ahead, notwithstanding recent good results on inflation, the risk of inflation rising again over the medium term remains. At today's meeting, the Board concluded that the balance of risks had shifted to the point where an early, modest tightening of monetary policy was prudent."
