Peace Needs Ammo, and Europe Can’t Fill the Void Left by the
Peace Needs Ammo, and Europe Can’t Fill the Void Left by the US
By: Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine
THANKS TO ALL WHO BACK US IN THESE HARD TIMES
Sloviansk – In the past few hours, the Russian Federation has launched 460 high-explosive drones and 22 other missiles of various types to strike energy targets in Kyiv and five other regions of Ukraine.
Six of those drones crossed into Ukrainian airspace, ending up in Moldova and Romania without being neutralized in time. Ukrainian air defenses still shot down a large portion of the ballistic threats, proving the effectiveness of the Patriot and Samp/T defense systems and the algorithms developed in Kyiv almost three years ago. All of those Russian missiles were recently produced.
As President Zelensky noted, this once again shows how essential weapons are, especially now when diplomacy is at stake. However, it also confirms that – after 12 years of war and sanctions – the Russian Federation still has the money and resources to produce these vectors of death.
Suffice it to say that a single Kinzhal missile contains around 48 non-Russian components: Moscow’s air force launched four yesterday, and Kyiv’s anti-aircraft defenses only shot down one. Depending on the version, an Iskander includes 15 to 32 parts produced abroad: of the seven fired, five were intercepted; a Kalibr has 45 foreign electronic components: eight launched, five neutralized.
Those asking Ukraine to «give up something for peace» should also have a clear conscience knowing that they have done the same. Especially those who pressured this country to give up its nuclear deterrent (the third world’s largest in 1994) in exchange for vague promises.
Investing in defense and maintaining strong sanctions on the aggressor is crucial today in light of attacks like those on European cities such as Kyiv, Dnipro, Lviv, Odesa, and Kharkiv. The six russian vectors that crossed into Moldovan and Romanian territory (the latest in a long list) highlight how close the rest of Europe is. However, separating these strikes from the situation on the front remains a serious but common mistake in the West, to the point that it has affected its stability.
Ukraine needs weapons right now when peace is being discussed. European weapons, however, that Europe itself does not have.
An interesting comparison of Russian and Ukrainian forces compiled by Molly Carlough and Benjamin Harris for the ”Council on Foreign Relations“ highlights how – in the face of the enormous disproportion between the parties in this area, which is the primary problem afflicting Ukraine – the European Union is unable to provide enough to fill the gap left by the United States of America after Donald Trump’s second inauguration at the White House.
The EU continues to rely on the American industrial system despite its clear betrayals, such as the intelligence blackout that ended the Kursk operation and the over six-month halt in military supplies that helped lead to the collapse of the Avdiivka front.
The Russian narrative has penetrated the Western media to the point of implying that the problem in Ukraine is manpower, leading to the convenient recommendation to extend the mobilization to the 18–24 age group. This is the easiest way to wash one’s hands of the matter, reducing it all to an internal issue.
Since the very beginning of the large-scale invasion of Ukraine, Europe made the mistake of succumbing to simple narratives about the war, spread by activists, propagandists, and «milbloggers,» which suggested that a poorly armed army would come to Ukraine with shovels and goats to steal chips from washing machines. Meanwhile, billions of euros and top-quality Western technology continued to flow into Russia. Today, the Russian narrative aims to discredit the President of Ukraine and the Commander-in-Chief of its Armed Forces, while tens of thousands of Ukrainians find themselves on the front lines without adequate means to defend their country – i.e., Europe – and Ukrainian cities are being bombed with hundreds of missiles each night significantly impacting the situation at the front.
Winning the war by any means possible, including the material exhaustion of Ukraine, is precisely the goal of the Russian leadership.
Despite this enormous disparity in weapons and ammunition, much of the West still funds the Russian war effort, advising Ukraine to recruit even more men. Entire brigades are all around us, ready to attack but lacking the means to do so. To the half-thousand missiles and nearly a thousand Russian glide bombs raining down daily on our homes and the positions of young soldiers’ positions, Ukraine can only respond with a few dozen home-made drones, even fewer glide bombs, and very few missiles. Made in Ukraine, because Western ones are subject to such absurd restrictions that leave Ukraine fighting with one hand tied behind its back against a stronger opponent.
Meanwhile, millions of artillery shells keep flowing from Pyongyang, along with an equal number of drones coming from Beijing.
Under these conditions, it takes real courage to criticize Zelensky and Syrsky, reminding them that they «don’t have the cards».
THANKS TO ALL WHO BACK US IN THESE HARD TIMES
感谢所有在这段艰难时期支持我们的人
幫助我們購買無人機探測器
在過去的三年裏，作為自由撰稿人，我們一直在烏克蘭戰爭的所有前線進行報導，自從大規模……
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和平需要弹药，而欧洲无法填补美国留下的空白
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
乌克兰前线报道
斯拉维扬斯克 - 在过去几个小时里，俄罗斯联邦发射了460架高爆无人机和22枚其他类型的导弹，以打击基辅和乌克兰其他五个地区的能源目标。
其中六架无人机进入了乌克兰空域，最终在没有及时被击落的情况下飞入摩尔多瓦和罗马尼亚。乌克兰的防空系统仍然击落了大量弹道威胁，证明了爱国者和Samp/T防御系统以及近三年前在基辅开发的算法的有效性。所有这些俄罗斯导弹都是最近生产的。
正如泽伦斯基总统所指出的，这再次表明武器的重要性，特别是在外交面临挑战的情况下。然而，这也证实了，经过12年的战争和制裁，俄罗斯联邦仍然拥有生产这些致命武器的资金和资源。
只需拿“匕首”导弹举例来说，一枚导弹就包含约48个非俄罗斯组件：莫斯科的空军昨天发射了四枚，而基辅的防空系统仅击落了一枚。根据不同版本，“伊斯坎德尔”导弹包括15至32个国外生产的部件：七枚发射中有五枚被拦截；“卡利布尔”则有45个外国电子组件：发射的八枚中五枚被拦截。
那些要求乌克兰“为和平放弃某些东西”的人也应该清楚的认知到，乌克兰曾经这样做过。尤其是那些施压乌克兰放弃核威慑力量（1994年时乌是世界第三大核武库）以换取模糊承诺的人。
如今，考虑到基辅、德尼普罗、利沃夫、敖德萨和哈尔科夫等欧洲城市遭受的攻击，投资于国防并对侵略者维持强有力的制裁显得至关重要。六个进入摩尔多瓦和罗马尼亚领土的俄罗斯导弹（这只是众多事件中最新的一起）突显了其余欧洲的脆弱。然而，西方在将这些攻击与前线形势分开来看，仍然是一个严重但普遍的错误，以至于影响了其稳定性。
（图：在我身后，这张在顿涅茨克地区拍摄的照片中，有两则广告，声称愿意支付高价收购无人机 - 版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
在谈判和平的时候，乌克兰现在急需武器。可惜，欧洲自己的武器却并不充足。
由莫莉·卡尔洛和本杰明·哈里斯为“外交关系委员会”编制的俄罗斯和乌克兰军队的有趣比较，突显了在这一领域各方之间巨大不成比例的情况下（这是困扰乌克兰的主要问题），欧洲联盟无法提供足够的支持以填补美国在唐纳德·特朗普第二次入主白宫后留下的空白。
尽管欧盟遭遇了明显的背叛，如导致库尔斯克行动结束的情报封锁和导致阿夫迪伊夫卡战线的崩溃的六个多月的军事供应停滞，但欧盟仍然依赖美国的工业体系。
（图：Alla在利沃夫现场报道。俄罗斯每天都会轰炸乌克兰的欧洲城市 - 版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
俄罗斯的叙述已渗透到西方媒体，甚至暗示乌克兰的问题在于人力，导致延长征兵范围扩大至18至24岁的便宜建议。这是将问题简化为内部事务、彻底撇清关系的最简单方式。
自俄罗斯大规模入侵乌克兰之初，欧洲就犯了一个错误，屈从于由活动家、宣传者和“军事博客作者”传播的关于战争的简单叙述，这些叙述声称一支武装不足的军队会带着铁锹和山羊来乌克兰窃取洗衣机的芯片。与此同时，数十亿欧元和优质西方技术持续流入俄罗斯。今天，俄罗斯的叙述旨在诋毁乌克兰总统和其武装部队的总指挥，而数以万计的乌克兰人在前线缺乏足够的武器保卫他们的国家，保卫欧洲；乌克兰的城市每晚都遭到数百枚导弹的轰炸，显著影响着前线局势。
以任何可能的手段赢得战争，包括对乌克兰的物质耗竭，正是俄罗斯领导层的目标。
（图：Alla在乌克兰利沃夫，照片中的黄色幕布上写着“Ц?на”，意思是乌克兰独立和主权的代价。所有其他旗帜展示着为为保卫乌克兰牺牲的战士的照片和故事，以及那些不可剥夺的价值观 - - 版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
尽管武器和弹药之间存在巨大的差距，西方的很多国家仍然资助俄罗斯的战争行动，并建议乌克兰招募更多士兵。周围到处都是整支部队，虽然准备好攻击，却缺乏必要的武器。面对每天向我们的家园和年轻士兵阵地倾泻而下的五百枚导弹和近千枚俄制滑翔炸弹，乌克兰只能用几十架自制无人机、甚至更少的滑翔炸弹和极少的导弹进行反抗。这些武器均为乌克兰制造，因为西方的武器受到如此荒谬的限制，使乌克兰在对抗强大的对手时犹如一只手被绑在背后作战。
与此同时，数百万炮弹不断从平壤流入，而来自北京的无人机数量也在不断增加。
在这种情况下，批评泽伦斯基和西尔斯基，提醒他们“没有牌可打”，需要真正的勇气。
（图：我在乌克兰斯拉维扬斯克的一处抗无人机走廊下，写下这篇文章的前一刻。 - 版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
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