Investing in Ukraine to Defend Europe投资乌克兰，捍卫欧洲
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在过去的三年里，作为自由撰稿人，我们一直在乌克兰战争的所有前线进行报道，自从大规模…
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Investing in Ukraine to Defend Europe
By: Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine
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Kyiv — The Russian Federation launched 320 drones and 37 other missiles, including 28 ballistic missiles, against Ukraine last night. Ukrainian air defenses managed to shoot down 283 drones and five of the seven Kh-59 guided rockets fired by the Russians. All 26 enemy Iskander-M/KNN-23s, two Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles, and two Iskander-K cruise missiles evaded Ukrainian anti-aircraft fire, with 18 even being lost due to undetection. For the sixth time since October, dozens of these missiles struck civilian targets linked to the supply of gas—and therefore heat—to Ukraine, causing casualties among Naftogaz technicians and workers. This prompted Naftogaz Chairman of the Board of Directors, Serhiy Koretsky, to urge the population to conserve this precious hydrocarbon, saying, «The company will have the strength to overcome this, but every cubic meter of gas saved counts today.»
The Ukrainian Armed Forces responded by striking one of the oldest oil refineries in the Russian Federation at night: the one in Saratov, which, with its 4.8 million tons of refined petroleum products annually, meets a large portion of Putin’s army’s needs.
Me after a recent Russian strike on Kyiv like the ones described in this articles – copyrighted photo
Beyond Moscow’s adjustments to missile trajectories, launch methods, and hardware, the core issue is the huge decline in foreign arms supplies to Ukraine. Estimates from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy indicate a 43% decline in Western aid to Ukraine, primarily due to two factors: deliveries of military equipment are often lower than promised, and Ukraine's increasing production capacity means that many partners are now transferring funds instead of weapons.
As its Defense Minister, Denys Shmyhal, explained following the Ramstein meetings, Ukraine aims to produce as many as 20 million drones by 2026. This is a considerable amount, especially considering the precarious energy, logistics, and labor conditions of a country at war like Ukraine, which for 12 years has been stripped of much of its richest territories and most productive industrial facilities and has been targeted daily in this manner for 1,330 days. This also includes interceptor drones, of which Shmyhal has promised to reach a record number of 1,000 per day in the near future. Much of the coverage of the Ukrainian skies, now being mortally pierced by the Russian Federation, depends on those UAVs.
In September, the European Commission agreed with Ukraine to allocate €2 billion for drone production. Over half of NATO countries have already made or at least declared their contributions, including €600 million from Norway, €106 million from the Netherlands, €8 million from Canada, and €4 million from Iceland, among others. Italy remains in limbo, suspended in an indefinite state of fine words and imponderable transfers of military equipment, covered by state secrecy and long unreported. However, examining the graphs of the Ukraine Support Tracker, recently updated by researchers at The Kiel Institute for the World Economy, it’s clear that Italy isn’t particularly generous. Regardless of its share of EU aid, Italy (0.14%) lags behind Portugal (0.15%) in direct bilateral support to Ukraine in terms of its GDP share.
Source and credits: Trebesch et al. (2023) “The Ukraine Support Tracker” Kiel WP
Given the radical shift in the American position on this issue, it’s clear that initiatives under the Prioritized Ukraine Requirement List (PURL) or inspired by the so-called “Danish model” play a crucial role for Europe in a war that directly affects it.
Source and credits: Trebesch et al. (2023) “The Ukraine Support Tracker” Kiel WP
According to testimonies shared on social media by many civilians in the region, Mykolaiv was hit for the first time yesterday by a Russian KAB guided aerial bomb, which flew over 150 km at a speed of nearly 500 km/h. This is also bad news for Moldova and Romania, as similar devices dropped from the same launch point in the Black Sea could impact their territory.
The results of the latest tests, which involved subjecting several integrated systems to demanding conditions at the Directorate General of Armament’s testing grounds in France, have highlighted promising solutions developed by NATO, including the participation (for the first time in its history) of Ukrainian teams. Therefore, it is essential to maintain high levels of attention and funding for initiatives aimed at addressing common threats to both Ukraine and the members of the Atlantic Alliance.
Every dollar invested in Ukraine’s defense ensures the security of Europe.
Me in the basement o
ng often used as a bunker during Russian strikes. The building behind me was destroyed by a Russian missile, killing many innocent people, including children. – copyrighted photo
投资乌克兰，捍卫欧洲
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
来自乌克兰的报道
基辅—昨晚，俄罗斯联邦发射了320架无人机和37枚其他导弹，其中包括28枚弹道导弹，袭击乌克兰。乌克兰的防空部队成功击落了俄罗斯发射的283架无人机和7枚Kh-59制导火箭弹中的5枚。所有26枚“伊斯坎德尔-M/KNN-23”型敌方导弹、2枚Kh-47M2“匕首”高超音速导弹以及2枚“伊斯坎德尔-K”巡航导弹都躲过了乌克兰的防空火力，其中有18枚因为未被探测到而失去踪迹。自十月以来，这已经是第六次发生数十枚导弹袭击与天然气供应和供暖有关的民用目标，造成了乌克兰石油天然气公司技术人员和工人的伤亡。这促使乌克兰石油天然气公司董事会主席谢尔盖·科列茨基呼吁民众节约这种珍贵的碳氢化合物，并表示，“公司将有实力克服这种情况，但每一立方米的节约都至关重要。”
作为回应，乌克兰武装部队在夜间袭击了俄罗斯联邦最古老的炼油厂之一：萨拉托夫的炼油厂，该厂每年生产480万吨精炼石油产品，满足了普京军队的大部分需求。
（图：我，拍摄于近期俄罗斯对基辅的一次袭击后，袭击情况如文中所描述-- 版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
除了莫斯科方面调整了导弹的轨迹、发射方式和硬件之外，核心问题是外国对乌克兰的武器供应大幅下降。基尔世界经济研究所的估计显示，西方对乌克兰的援助下降了43%，主要是由于两个因素：军事装备的交付往往低于承诺的数量；乌克兰不断提高的生产能力意味着许多合作伙伴现在正在转移资金而不是武器本身。
正如乌克兰国防部长丹尼斯·什米哈尔在拉姆施泰因会议后解释的那样，乌克兰的目标是到2026年生产多达2000万架无人机。这是一个相当大的数量，特别是考虑到乌克兰这个饱受战争摧残的国家在能源、物流和劳动力方面的严峻形势，12年来，乌克兰被剥夺了大部分最富饶的领土和最具生产力的工业设施，并且每天都是前述规模的袭击目标，这样已经持续了1330天。乌克兰的目标还包括拦截无人机，什米哈尔承诺在不久的将来达到每天1000架的创纪录数量。到那时乌克兰天空的大部分都会被这些无人机覆盖，而现在却只能受到俄罗斯联邦的致命打击。
（图：在视频中，Alla从克拉马托尔斯克解释说，顿巴斯曾经是乌克兰经济的驱动力，但现在却依赖于该国其他地区，因为顿巴斯遭受了12年的俄罗斯袭击。-- 版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
今年9月，欧盟委员会与乌克兰同意为无人机生产拨款20亿欧元。超过一半的北约国家支付或至少申领了他们的份额，其中包括挪威的6亿欧元，荷兰的1.06亿欧元，加拿大的800万欧元以及冰岛的400万欧元等等。意大利仍然处于悬而未决的状态，只有无休止的地华词，和未知的军事装备转移，并以国家保密为由无信息披露。然而，从基尔世界经济研究所研究人员最近更新的乌克兰支持追踪图表来看，很明显，意大利并不是特别慷慨。无论其在欧盟援助中所占的份额如何，以其GDP份额而言，意大利（0.14％）在对乌克兰的直接双边支持方面落后于葡萄牙（0.15％）。
（图：来源与版权：Trebesch et al. (2023)，“乌克兰援助追踪器”，基尔世界经济研究所）
鉴于美国在此问题上的立场发生了根本性转变，很明显，在“乌克兰优先需求清单”（PURL）下的倡议或受所谓的“丹麦模式”启发，将在直接影响欧洲的战争中对欧洲发挥关键作用。
（图：来源与版权：Trebesch et al. (2023)，“乌克兰援助追踪器”，基尔世界经济研究所）
根据尼古拉耶夫许多平民在社交媒体上分享的证词，该地区昨天首次遭到俄罗斯 KAB 制导航空炸弹的袭击，该炸弹以接近 500 公里/小时的速度飞行了150 多公里。这对摩尔多瓦和罗马尼亚来说也是个坏消息，因为从黑海的同一发射点投放的类似装置可能会影响到他们的领土。
在法国军备总局的试验场中涉及几个集成系统处于苛刻的条件的最新测试的结果，突出显示了北约开发的有前景的解决方案，也包括有史以来第一次的乌克兰团队的参与。因此，必须保持高度关注并资助旨在解决乌克兰和北大西洋联盟成员面临的共同威胁的倡议。
投资于乌克兰国防的每一元都在确保欧洲的安全。
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