让数据慢慢飞：东西沿海与内陆房产升值数据

好像这里有一共识，东西沿海好区的升值潜力比内陆好。虽然我来美国后就一直住在西海边，在海边城市也有出租房，在内陆买投资房是最近一两年的事。所以很好奇。周末查了查。选了六个代表性城市,三个海边好区，三个最近跌得力害的内陆城市。

根据下面20年的数据，1）沿海的升值比内陆好。2）年升值率沿海（4%+）比内陆（2%+）高2%，3）内陆城市如果去除近几年的大幅下降，过去15年年升值率比沿海低1%多一点。这三个城市现在租金回报率在10-15% 之间。如果近几年这几个城市房价没跌，租金回报率肯定会低很多。

从投资角度看，结论是比较清楚的。

后记，应一些看了原帖网友的要求，又加了4个内陆城市，san antonio, boise, de moines, mineaolis, 看来上面第一条都难成立了。

San Francisco appreciation rates

Population805,235

San Francisco

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO CA*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	145.38%	4.42%	8	7
Last 10 Years	48.82%	4.06%	5	4
Last 5 Years	-10.34%	-2.16%	9	2
Last 2 Years	-4.00%	-2.02%	8	4
Last 12 Months	0.62%	0.62%	8	6
Latest Quarter	-0.45%	-1.78%	7	4
				* 10 is highest

Boston

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO MA*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	127.41%	4.04%	9	5
Last 10 Years	51.87%	4.27%	7	5
Last 5 Years	-9.33%	-1.94%	7	2
Last 2 Years	-1.53%	-0.77%	8	5
Last 12 Months	1.46%	1.46%	9	7
Latest Quarter	0.20%	0.81%	9	7
				* 10 is highest

 

Newport Beach

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO CA*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	178.99%	5.07%	10	8
Last 10 Years	107.52%	7.57%	10	10
Last 5 Years	-5.66%	-1.16%	9	3
Last 2 Years	5.85%	2.88%	10	9
Last 12 Months	3.99%	3.99%	10	9
Latest Quarter	0.44%	1.78%	9	8

Riverside

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO CA*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	62.88%	2.38%	2	1
Last 10 Years	47.50%	3.96%	4	4
Last 5 Years	-37.80%	-9.06%	3	1
Last 2 Years	-6.02%	-3.06%	6	3
Last 12 Months	0.30%	0.30%	8	6
Latest Quarter	-0.56%	-2.21%	6	4
				* 10 is highest

Las Vegas

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO NV*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	61.23%	2.33%	3	1
Last 10 Years	12.31%	1.17%	2	1
Last 5 Years	-45.02%	-11.28%	2	1
Last 2 Years	-21.31%	-11.30%	3	1
Last 12 Months	-4.69%	-4.69%	6	1
Latest Quarter	-2.24%	-8.66%	3	1
				* 10 is highest

Phoenix

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO AZ*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	73.15%	2.68%	3	1
Last 10 Years	12.12%	1.15%	2	1
Last 5 Years	-42.15%	-10.37%	1	1
Last 2 Years	-24.96%	-13.37%	2	1
Last 12 Months	-9.64%	-9.64%	4	1
Latest Quarter	-3.78%	-14.28%	1	1
				* 10 is highest

 Minneapolis

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO MN*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	131.35%	4.13%	3	5
Last 10 Years	31.80%	2.80%	2	2
Last 5 Years	-14.72%	-3.13%	2	2
Last 2 Years	-7.93%	-4.05%	2	2
Last 12 Months	-1.53%	-1.53%	2	3
Latest Quarter	-1.91%	-7.44%	2	1
				* 10 is highest

San Antonio

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO TX*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	96.59%	3.31%	4	3
Last 10 Years	41.79%	3.55%	4	3
Last 5 Years	10.92%	2.09%	3	6
Last 2 Years	-0.48%	-0.24%	4	6
Last 12 Months	-0.01%	-0.01%	6	5
Latest Quarter	0.20%	0.79%	7	7
				* 10 is highest

Boise City

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO ID*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	141.11%	4.33%	2	6
Last 10 Years	37.27%	3.22%	2	3
Last 5 Years	-10.34%	-2.16%	1	2
Last 2 Years	-20.25%	-10.70%	1	1
Last 12 Months	-8.68%	-8.68%	1	1
Latest Quarter	-2.11%	-8.18%	3	1
				* 10 is

Boise City

PERIOD	TOTAL APPRECIATION	AVG. ANNUAL RATE	COMPARED TO ID*	COMPARED TO AMERICA*
Since 1990	141.11%	4.33%	2	6
Last 10 Years	37.27%	3.22%	2	3
Last 5 Years	-10.34%	-2.16%	1	2
Last 2 Years	-20.25%	-10.70%	1	1
Last 12 Months	-8.68%	-8.68%	1	1
Latest Quarter	-2.11%	-8.18%	3	1
				* 10 is