我来接着善加利用一下这组数据

来源: 2012-11-28 16:12:39 [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读:

第一个,欧洲2006年的统计数字:

In a 2006 European study, the risk of developing lung cancer was:
0.2% for men who never smoked (0.4% for women)
5.5% for male former smokers (2.6% in women)
15.9% for current male smokers (9.5% for women)
24.4% for male “heavy smokers” defined as smoking more than 5 cigarettes per day (18.5% for women)

假定随机找出1000个从来不吸烟的男人,得肺癌的几率是2个人;
再随机找出1000个每天吸烟超过5支的男人,得肺癌的几率是244个人;
你能得出什么结论?这多出的242个人得肺癌,是什么因素引起的?(当然可能不是全部归于吸烟)
再看加拿大的数据
An earlier Canadian study quoted the lifetime risk for male smokers at 17.2% (11.6% in women) versus only 1.3% in male non-smokers (1.4% in female non-smokers).
假定随机找出1000个不吸烟的男人,得肺癌的几率是13个人;
再随机找出1000个吸烟的男人,得肺癌的几率是172个人;
你能得出什么结论?这比原本的13个人多出的159得肺癌的人,是什么因素引起的?(当然可能不是全部归于吸烟)