英国皇家学院关于Omicron的研究结论是否有错。懂统计的帮忙验证一下。

来源: 2021-12-17 15:20:04 [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读:

研究如下:

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-49-Omicron/

结论是Omicron和Delta住院率并没显著不同。但我看到两者住院数据如下(15063 vs 24)。总感染人数(208947 vs 15087) 住院率为(0.67% vs 0.16%)。Delta是Omicron 4 倍。Significant Test也表明Significant different。为何英国皇家学院说没有显著不同。不敢相信他们会犯如此简单错误。请懂统计的帮忙验证一下。

Hospitalisation and asymptomatic infection indicators were not significantly associated with Omicron infection, suggesting at most limited changes in severity compared with Delta.

Hospital status

No hospital attendance 207555 15063

Hospital attendance 1392 24

数据在6页

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2021-12-16-COVID19-Report-49.pdf