明尼苏达事件最清醒的分析

明尼苏达发生的示威抗议分子阻碍ICE行动而被枪杀的事件引起掀起了大风波,当然更多的人是情绪宣泄,极少真正清醒的分析。这是我在X上发现的最清醒的一篇分析,用一句话来形容:就是碰瓷踢到了钢板。显然这是一个希望碰瓷挑起事端的示威者,一个负责挑事,一个负责拍照,一看就是训练有素的专业示威者。当然,碰瓷者并没有当烈士的觉悟,只是出现了意料之外无法控制的事情才导致了这个后果。如果是一个人站在路中间阻碍交通被警察枪杀,很明显是警察滥用权力。但驾驶一辆SUV,并不服从执法者的命令,很显然构成了现实的致命威胁,尤其是已经多次先例的情况下。

I don’t think suspect in yesterday’s confrontation with federal agents, woke up that day planning to get killed. I really don’t. What I do think is that she probably thought she was provoking them in a way that would end with her getting yanked out of the car, maybe shoved to the ground, detained, something ugly but non-lethal. The kind of thing that turns into a viral video where they get to play the victims and paint ICE as monsters. That’s a scenario people assume is safe, especially if they’ve been around activism long enough to believe the script always ends the same way. If her girlfriend was already outside the vehicle filming, that tells me this wasn’t spontaneous panic. That looks like intent to capture a moment. Maybe they thought, “We’ll push, they’ll overreact, we’ll get content.” I’m sure she didn’t think she’d get shot. I’m sure she thought she was in control of the situation. But then reality intervenes. Maybe she didn’t see the officer in front of the car. Maybe she had tunnel vision and was focused on the agent next to her. But she did accelerate forward, and once a vehicle is moving toward an officer, the situation changes instantly. At that point, whether she meant to or not, she put herself into a lethal scenario, and she lost her life. That’s tragic. It’s also not the same thing as “this just happened for no reason.” And if it turns out there’s evidence that this was coordinated... that the girlfriend was setting this up, encouraging it, orchestrating it to get a viral confrontation... then yeah, I think she should face charges too. Not just because someone died, but because if you help engineer a dangerous situation and someone ends up dead, you don’t get to wash your hands of it afterward. Sympathy doesn’t mean pretending people had no agency. And accountability doesn’t mean saying someone deserved to die. Both things can be true at the same time.

我不认为昨天与联邦探员发生冲突的嫌疑人那天醒来就计划着要被杀。我真的不这么认为。但我认为,她当时可能以为自己是在挑衅,最终会被拖出车外,或许会被推倒在地,被拘留,总之会遭遇一些不愉快的、但不会致命的对待。这种事很容易被拍成病毒视频,让他们扮演受害者,把移民执法局(ICE)描绘成怪物。人们通常认为这种情景是安全的,尤其是那些长期参与维权活动的人,他们往往会觉得所有事情的结局都一样。如果她的女友当时已经在车外拍摄,那就说明这不是一时冲动。这看起来像是故意要捕捉某个瞬间。也许她们当时想的是:“我们挑衅一下,他们肯定会反应过度,这样我们就能获得素材了。” 我相信她当时肯定没想到自己会被枪击。我相信她当时肯定觉得自己能掌控局面。但现实并非如此。也许她根本没看到车前的警官。或许她当时目光短浅,只盯着旁边的警员。但她的确加速向前行驶,一旦车辆冲向警员,情况就会瞬间改变。那时,无论她是否出于本意,她都把自己置于致命的境地,最终失去了生命。这很悲惨。但这并非“无缘无故发生的”。如果最终有证据表明这是一起有预谋的事件……是她的女友策划、怂恿、安排这一切,意图制造一场网络热议的冲突……那么,我认为她也应该受到指控。这不仅仅是因为有人丧生,而是因为如果你参与制造危险局面,导致有人死亡,事后你不能置身事外。同情并不意味着假装人们没有自主权。而追究责任也不意味着说某人罪有应得。这两点可以同时成立

 

所有跟帖: 

“2000”先生作为team的代表应该发表一下看法 -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (167 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 11:52:39

不明身份武装分子要拉门绑票,害怕是自然的,但跑不见得是明智的,人家有枪,只能要啥给啥 -randd2000- 给 randd2000 发送悄悄话 randd2000 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:16:15

哈哈哈 -Sherryshen- 给 Sherryshen 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 13:05:13

一针见血,谢谢。 -金笔- 给 金笔 发送悄悄话 金笔 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 11:53:48

印证了为什么死者的“husband”事后说“it is my fault"。蓄意的挑衅 -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 11:54:50

分析清醒而冷血。 但不能解释,警察为什么开枪杀人。 -voiceofme- 给 voiceofme 发送悄悄话 voiceofme 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 11:57:16

被杀者动机很清楚, 就是要示威,和平的反对ICE在街头执法。 但没有人会想到,突然她就被杀了。 -voiceofme- 给 voiceofme 发送悄悄话 voiceofme 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 11:59:53

因为警察生命遭到威胁 -柳伊伊- 给 柳伊伊 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:03:54

这个警察因为有过被拖拽过去也许会认为自己受到了威胁。但这得陪审团判断。一般人是不会觉得有生命威胁得。 -voiceofme- 给 voiceofme 发送悄悄话 voiceofme 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:07:33

这个不matter。警察被撞的不轻。车一旦被加速就是lethal weapon -柳伊伊- 给 柳伊伊 发送悄悄话 (118 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:12:27

完全解释了,当她踩油门的时候,就决定了结果已经脱离了她的控制。或许她没想杀警察,但是那个时刻警察的反应很正常。 -tz2000- 给 tz2000 发送悄悄话 tz2000 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:05:36

一个六岁孩子的母亲,在一次悲剧事件中离开了。这一篇完全恶意的猜测,竟自称“清醒的分析” , What a Shame ! -shellz- 给 shellz 发送悄悄话 shellz 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 11:58:36

在左侧两个警员开车过来之前她就要开走了,只是为了给另一辆车让路才又停了下来.说她期待发生什么不符合当时实际. -红米2015- 给 红米2015 发送悄悄话 红米2015 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:04:34

我倒觉得是这个警员像是在寻找机会. -红米2015- 给 红米2015 发送悄悄话 红米2015 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:21:45

录像我转在下面了,大家自己看: -金笔- 给 金笔 发送悄悄话 金笔 的博客首页 (681 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:10:38

“显然这是一个希望碰瓷挑起事端的示威者,一个负责挑事,一个负责拍照,一看就是训练有素的专业示威者”,警方认可了此说法吗? -21-C- 给 21-C 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/09/2026 postreply 12:15:42

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