Deaths, Rubble, And Evacuations As Surreal “Peace Talks” Take Place
By: Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine
Chernivtsi – This past weekend, the Russians launched relentless, merciless attacks on the Ukrainian civilian population. As of this writing, Russian air forces are targeting Kharkiv for the seventh time in three days. From Saturday to Monday, they struck the city center, intentionally killing dozens of civilians (the youngest was a six-month-old baby) and at least six times its energy infrastructure.
Russian strikes did not spare the capital, Kyiv, which was hit by a staggering number of drones and missiles in its most densely populated neighborhoods, nor the Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk regions within a 200-kilometer radius of the frontline. Against these already devastated areas, the Russian Armed Forces have launched dozens of ground offensives, supported by North Korean artillery fire and Chinese drones.
Ukrainian authorities have announced the forced evacuation of 58 settlements to save at least 3,000 children: 651 from four villages in Zaporizhia and 2,463 from 40 in Dnipropetrovsk. This is in addition to the mandatory evacuation order issued on December 30 for 14 settlements in Chernihiv Oblast’, which has been completed in three of them and is still underway in the other 11. In total, according to Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Oleksij Kuleba, approximately 150,000 civilians have already been evacuated from areas near the front line to safer locations over the past six months. Among them, nearly 18,000 were children and over 5,000 people with reduced mobility. In one of the videos Alla Perdei and I recently recorded for this newspaper from the hardest-hit areas of Chernihiv Oblast’, you can see some of the more than 80,000 temporary shelters built by the Ukrainian civil engineering department to house internally displaced persons. To coordinate this process, 17 operational transit centers have been established, where displaced persons receive medical, psychological, legal, and social assistance, as well as support for document restoration and payment processing.
As Alla and I experienced firsthand when the same fate befell the house we lived in in Sumy Oblast’, their homes will soon be engulfed by Russian fire, then occupied, and finally razed to the ground in an attempt to liberate those territories.
Unfortunately, the predictions I made on these pages on December 10 last year have come true with mathematical precision: in 2025, the Russians will have launched exactly 55,000 high-explosive drones against Ukraine, five times more than the previous year.
This demonstrates that sanctions should not be loosened but tightened further, as the Russian regime continues to have sufficient resources to produce or purchase more artillery shells, drones, and other missiles than it fires.
All of this, at the dawn of the 13th year of war and the fifth full-scale war, is simply intolerable. In the 2025 ranking, the Russian Federation’s nominal GDP is comparable to Italy’s. The European Union economy is approximately 8.3 times larger than Russia’s, and the American economy is a whopping 12 times larger.
Inevitably, the final question these people on the run are asking is this:
«How is it possible that in 2026 – that is, after sanctions imposed in some cases as early as 12 years ago – an economy only a tiny fraction of the size of the European and American economies continues to support a war, industrial, and economic effort of such proportions?»
The answer can only be political, even before it is economic.It is the direct result of sanctions being circumvented, of financial flows that continue to move through opaque triangulations, of energy exports (even to the EU) that – although reduced – still generate billions in revenue, and of a total reconversion of the Russian economy into a war economy, in which every ruble stolen from the population’s well-being is transformed into steel, explosives, and death. A predatory model that produces not development but destruction; not growth but annihilation.
These people forced to flee are wondering how much longer they should believe the apparent signs of Russian structural failure.
The most honest comparison is not between state budgets or macroeconomic curves. It is between what Russia produces and what it leaves behind. On one side, missiles, drones, and glide bombs in ever-increasing numbers. On the other, hundreds of thousands of internally displaced persons, tens of thousands of children uprooted from their homes, cities emptied and razed, entire regions transformed into permanent evacuation zones.
The Russian economy, which manages to finance arms production faster than the West can stop it, is the same one that has produced millions of shattered lives, broken families, and a country forced to build tens of thousands of temporary shelters just to contain a permanent humanitarian emergency.
2025 ended (un)talking about peace. If – with all its limitations – the European Union did not exist, Ukraine would be alone today: militarily and economically abandoned. The delusional ‘peace plan’ drafted by Moscow and endorsed by Washington even calls for easing sanctions against Russia. A thing the United States has already begun to implement.
But if all this is still possible in 2026, the problem isn’t just Russia.
The problem is what Europe and the West continue to tolerate. Every additional missile produced in Moscow means one fewer home in Ukraine, one more child on an evacuation bus, another slice of the future erased. This is no longer a question of numbers. It’s a historic responsibility.
死亡、瓦砾和撤离，超现实的“和平谈判”正在进行中
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
翻译：旺财球球
乌克兰前线报道
切尔诺夫茨——上周末，俄罗斯对乌克兰平民发起了无情、残酷的攻击。到目前为止，俄罗斯空军已经在三天内第七次轰炸哈尔科夫。从周六到周一，他们袭击了市中心，故意杀害了数十名平民（最小的年仅六个月大），并至少六次打击了城市的能源基础设施。
俄罗斯的攻击并没有放过首都基辅，最密集的居民区遭到了数量惊人的无人机和导弹的袭击；在前线200公里范围内的顿巴斯、扎波罗热和第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克地区也未能幸免。在这些已经受到严重破坏的地区，俄罗斯武装部队在朝鲜大炮火力和中国无人机的支持下，发起了数十次地面进攻。
（图：Alla在哈尔科夫市中心被俄罗斯联邦摧毁的一栋建筑的屋顶上报道——版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
乌克兰当局已宣布强制撤离58个居民点，以拯救至少3,000名儿童：651名来自扎波罗热的四个村庄，2,463名来自第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克的40个居民点。这是继12月30日针对切尔尼戈夫州14个居民点发出的强制撤离令之后的最新举措，目前在其中三个居民点已完成撤离，其余11个仍在进行中。乌克兰副总理奥列克西·库列巴表示，过去六个月，约有150,000名平民已从前线附近的地区撤离到更安全的地方，其中近18,000名是儿童，超过5,000人行动不便。在我和阿拉·佩尔代最近在切尔尼希夫州受灾最严重的地区为本报拍摄的一段视频中，可以看到乌克兰土木工程部门为安置国内流离失所者所建的超过80,000个临时避难所。为协调这一过程，已经建立了17个运营过渡中心，流离失所者在这里可以获得医疗、心理、法律和社会援助，以及文件恢复和支付处理的支持。
正如我和阿拉亲身经历的那样，我们在苏梅州生活的房屋也遭遇了同样的命运，他们的家园很快将被俄军的火焰吞没，之后被占领，最终被夷为平地，以试图“解放”那些地区。
不幸的是，我去年12月10日在本刊上做出的预测以数学精确度变为现实： 2025年，俄罗斯将发射恰好55,000架高爆无人机攻击乌克兰，数量是前一年的五倍。
（图片来源：TopLeadEU）
这表明，制裁不应放松，而应该进一步加强，因为俄罗斯政权仍然拥有足够的资源来生产或购买比其发射的更多的炮弹、无人机和其他导弹。
这一切在战争的第13个年头和第五年全面战争即将到来之际，简直不可容忍。在2025年的排名中，俄罗斯联邦名义上的GDP与意大利相当。欧盟经济规模约为俄罗斯的8.3倍，而美国经济更是达到了惊人的12倍。
不可避免地，这些流亡者最终的疑问是：
“在2026年——也就是说，在某些情况下，制裁早在12年前就已经实施——一个经济规模仅相当于欧洲和美国的微不足道一部分的经济体，如何能够继续支撑如此巨大规模的战争、工业和经济努力？”
答案只能是政治层面的，甚至在经济层面之前。这是制裁被规避的直接结果，金融流动通过不透明的三角交易持续进行，是即使减少，但仍然产生数十亿收入的能源出口（甚至对欧盟），以及俄罗斯经济完全转型为战争经济的结果。在这种经济中，从民众福祉中窃取的每一卢布都被转化为钢铁、炸药和死亡。这是一种掠夺性模式，所产生的不是发展，而是毁灭；不是增长，而是消亡。
这些被迫逃离的人们在想，自己还要相信俄罗斯结构性溃败的明显迹象多久。
（图片来源：Worldometers）
最诚实的比较并不在于国家预算或宏观经济曲线之间，而是在于俄罗斯所生产的与它所留下的之间。一方面是数量不断增加的导弹、无人机和滑翔炸弹，另一方面是数十万名流离失所者、数以万计被迫离开家园的儿童、被清空并夷为平地的城市、以及转变为永久撤离区的整个地区。
俄罗斯经济对武器生产的融资速度远快于西方对其阻止的速度，这个经济体还同时造成了数以百万破碎的生命、支离破碎的家庭，以及一个被迫建造数万个临时避难所，以应对持续的人道主义危机的国家。
（图：俄罗斯攻击了乌克兰哈尔科夫一个幼儿园，我在现场拍了这张照片——版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
2025年以（不）谈及和平而结束。如果没有欧盟，尽管存在各种局限，乌克兰今天将会孤立无援，军事和经济上被遗弃。莫斯科起草、华盛顿支持的妄想“和平计划”竟然还要求放松对俄罗斯的制裁，而美国已经开始付诸实施。
但如果在2026年这一切仍然可能，问题就不仅仅在于俄罗斯。
问题在于欧洲和西方继续容忍的事情。莫斯科生产的每一枚额外导弹意味着乌克兰少一个家庭，意味着撤离的巴士上多一个孩子，意味着又一部分未来被抹去。这已经不再是数字问题，而是一种历史责任。
（图：是的，特朗普先生。这是“我们这”半球的事——图片来源：美国关于X的国务院）
衷心感谢那些支持我们筹款活动的人
致所有相信我们工作并愿意支持它的人
在过去三年里，作为自由撰稿人，我们一直在乌克兰战争的所有前线进行报道，自从大规模……
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