很同意Vivian的观,我补下我的观:

本帖于 2025-12-03 18:38:19 时间, 由普通用户 青雨紫烟 编辑

Vivian's post:

https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/currentevent/3841982.html

补下我的观,英文不容易说错意。

China, Europe, Russia, and the United States form the multi-pillars of today’s global order. While the U.S. still holds military and economic advantages, China’s rapid rise means America can no longer dominate alone. This multipolar balance is inherently unstable; if it persists without clear leadership, the world could drift back toward a “law of the jungle,” with the risk of internal wars or even genocides when no superpower is strong enough to enforce restraint.

The best path forward is for democratic nations to share regional responsibilities: Europe should take the lead in countering Russia, the U.S. together with Japan, Korea, and Australia should manage the Indo-Pacific and China, and Israel should handle threats in the Middle East. The U.S. cannot overstretch itself across every region without weakening its overall power.

Crucially, Washington must stand firmly with its European allies and maintain sustained pressure on Russia. Staying united and persistent is essential: Russia is already weakened, and continued transatlantic resolve can decisively contain it. Once Russia is brought down to a manageable level, addressing China and other authoritarian challengers will become far easier.

Trying to pull Russia away from China while alienating Europe, as the Trump administration attempted, is strategically misguided. Russia and China cannot realistically be separated; their geopolitical incentives tie them together. And once Russia eventually rebuilds its strength, it will not forget its biggest adversary - the United States of America. Historical grievances cannot be erased by simply turning over a new leaf. Only a strong, united democratic alliance can shape a stable future.

Trump will only serve one term. Between now and next year’s midterms, Ukraine can survive and hold its ground against the aggressor together with NATO and EU. After that, we can put U.S. foreign policy back on the right track. On domestic matters, he made no major mistakes.

所有跟帖: 

strategist with principle values -voiceofme- 给 voiceofme 发送悄悄话 voiceofme 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 18:47:00

中国站错了队。中国没有盟友,美国一个呼哨,都跑美国那边去了 -victor1988- 给 victor1988 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 18:56:27

you just refuse to wake up to the situation. -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:07:53

还自大反美呢,中国现在多难啊,国内就业;国外的盟友叙利亚、哈马斯、伊朗都趴下了、委内瑞拉也快了、东南亚小弟们都跑美国那边 -victor1988- 给 victor1988 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:13:46

再支持俄罗斯它也打不赢,俄罗斯要是输了中国还承受不起 -victor1988- 给 victor1988 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:17:55

昨天叫什么Wang Yi在Moscow同一天Witkoff team和普京谈,这就是告诉我们you no longer -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (109 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:24:04

军队腐败多严重啊 -victor1988- 给 victor1988 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:26:56

看看美国、川普,就出点旧武器给乌克兰,欧洲中东日本台湾等都纷纷掏钱买美国武器,签了一堆矿产合同,捞了天量投资 -victor1988- 给 victor1988 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:25:16

Have they delivered the promised results? You need to wait -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (17 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:29:00

是你看不清形势。不是他 -Future2030- 给 Future2030 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:45:48

时坛看到的关于美国国际战略的最清晰的文章 -voiceofme- 给 voiceofme 发送悄悄话 voiceofme 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:01:00

谢谢! -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:08:15

完全是老中思维下的美国战略,和美国人给中国制定战略一个道理:) -Dotline- 给 Dotline 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:59:49

可以加入讨论,我说了我的观,你的认为是什? -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:06:44

美国很多所谓高明战略都是事后追认的。美国最底层最核心价值成功率最高。 -Dotline- 给 Dotline 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:11:14

不懂,please be specific. 你对Vivian和我说的US,China,Russia,Europe在俄乌 -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (39 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:20:03

讨论嘛,no right or wrong answers. Please state yours. -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:22:33

川总干得就很好,只要他老人家不嫌累不怕伤名声。想理解美国人所谓战略多看football -Dotline- 给 Dotline 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:33:52

I don’t parrot others’ views. 我说了我自己的views, 你没有你自己的观 -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (138 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:38:20

我就是美国人,你是哪国人?哈哈哈 -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:39:15

那你经常看football baseball吗? -Dotline- 给 Dotline 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:50:57

I grew up with them. I am asking your view not others’ view. -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (67 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:53:14

你们大陆人这么爱玩圈绕?不要胡扯,不说观就走开 -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:55:38

Forget what I said. Have fun! -Dotline- 给 Dotline 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 21:14:46

名声是什么?有人话大陆人总喜名声this or that, nonsense -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:42:48

Reputation每个政治人都care吧,川总特别好面子名声 -Dotline- 给 Dotline 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:54:19

Reputation is built on credibility not anything else. -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:59:31

美国要做的是,强迫和支持欧洲能站出来和俄对抗。 -voiceofme- 给 voiceofme 发送悄悄话 voiceofme 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:04:00

川普第一任时强迫欧洲增加军费,还遭到许多质疑和嘲笑。 -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:09:25

是,要让欧洲去和俄谈,不谈就让俄看到我们坚决和欧洲占一道! -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:09:49

这次EU 2027年断俄的天然气,有川普推的功。 -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:10:50

Biden's disciple -BeLe- 给 BeLe 发送悄悄话 BeLe 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:05:16

right or wrong? -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:11:21

边打边谈是对,我们手里有牌不轻易出也对,但是court Russia is terribly wrong.欧洲要加入谈判 -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:14:19

已经进入垃圾时间了。搞笑的是俄罗斯还没正是宣战呢 -victor1988- 给 victor1988 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:47:01

乌克兰也没正式宣战。现在跟正式宣战有啥差别?类似抗日战争打了4年后 中国才宣战,抱美国粗腿。 -highspot- 给 highspot 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:42:22

以色列这部分说的不清楚。以色列在行为方式上需要改变。中国和俄罗斯不是因为地缘政治的利益而在一起,而是 -咪呜- 给 咪呜 发送悄悄话 咪呜 的博客首页 (233 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 22:03:57

以色列和阿拉伯盟友一起。川普挺以色列最大的总统他的abraham accords真尽心力。这次Macron访中not a -青雨紫烟- 给 青雨紫烟 发送悄悄话 青雨紫烟 的博客首页 (615 bytes) () 12/04/2025 postreply 04:54:32

这个比较容易操作:你川普绥靖俄罗斯,欧洲就绥靖中国。川普,你看着办吧 -咪呜- 给 咪呜 发送悄悄话 咪呜 的博客首页 (340 bytes) () 12/04/2025 postreply 08:49:59

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