how is the war in ukraine going? AI said “stalemate”!

The war in 

Ukraine

 is in a stalemate, with Russia currently occupying roughly 20% of the countryafter more than three years of full-scale invasion. Fighting has largely become a war of attrition, with intense battles in the east, persistent aerial bombardments, and ongoing diplomatic efforts to end the conflict. 

 

Current Military Situation

• Stalemate and Russian Gains: The war is largely an active stalemate along extensive front lines in southern and eastern Ukraine. Russian forces have made slow, incremental gains in the east, notably capturing Avdiivka in early 2024 and pressing towards other key cities like Pokrovsk in late 2025.
• Ukrainian Offensives and Defense: In August 2024 and January 2025, Ukraine launched incursions into Russia's Kursk Oblast to divert resources, but progress stalled due to heavy Russian counter-deployments. Ukraine has heavily relied on drone technology for attacks on Russian infrastructure and military assets, and to compensate for battlefield challenges.
• Casualties and Mobilization: Both sides have suffered massive casualties, with estimates in the hundreds of thousands for both killed and wounded military personnel. Ukraine is working to increase troop numbers through new mobilization laws.
• Infrastructure Attacks: Russia continues to target Ukrainian cities and critical infrastructure with missiles and drones, attempting to disrupt power grids as winter approaches. Ukraine has also launched drone strikes deep into Russian territory, targeting oil refineries and military sites. 

 

Diplomatic Developments

A major focus of recent news is the U.S. push for a peace deal, led by the Trump administration. 

• U.S. Peace Plan: A 28-point proposal has been put forward by the U.S., which includes conditions such as Ukraine committing to not joining NATO, limiting its military size, and potentially making territorial concessions.
• International Reaction: The plan has caused alarm in Kyiv and among some European allies, who argue it amounts to a "wish list" for Russia and would reward aggression.
• Zelenskyy's Position: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has expressed concern over being forced into an unfavorable deal and maintains that a just peace requires a full withdrawal of Russian troops and the restoration of Ukraine's territorial integrity.
• Ongoing Talks: U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has reported "tremendous progress" in recent talks in Geneva, but European leaders and Ukraine believe the plan requires significant changes. 

The war continues to cause a significant humanitarian crisis, with millions internally displaced or having fled the country entirely