大豆生产成本比较 (美国和巴西)。本来美国豆农都能挣大钱的, 现在如果要靠打价格战那就不值了

Soybean production costs and prices vary significantly by country due to factors like land costs, input expenses, and infrastructure. For example, Brazil often has lower overall costs per bushel than the U.S. due to lower land costs and higher land use, while the U.S. enjoys lower post-production and interest costsHowever, Brazilian farmers face higher fertilizer costs and higher drying costs due to high moisture content, and the weaker Brazilian real can also boost export demand and revenue.  
 
United States vs. Brazil
  • While land costs are higher in the U.S., Brazil incurs greater costs for labor, equipment, and custom services. 
     
  • U.S. producers benefit from lower costs for storage, marketing, and drying, while Brazilian producers face higher costs due to insufficient storage capacity and the need to dry their soybeans. 
     
  • U.S. land costs lead to higher allocated overhead costs, whereas Brazil's lower land and capital costs result in lower overhead. 
     
  • U.S. producers benefit from lower interest rates, which can reduce financing costs. 
     
Factors Influencing Production Costs
  • Land costs are a significant factor in overall production costs and vary considerably by region and country. 
     
  • The price and volatility of fertilizers, which are a major expense, can significantly impact a country's production costs, especially for countries like Brazil that rely on imports. 
     
  • Exchange rates can influence production costs and profitability; for instance, a stronger dollar can make Brazilian soybeans more attractive and profitable for exporters. 
     
  • Investments in transportation infrastructure, like Brazil's efforts to improve its overland transport network, can reduce marketing and shipping costs. 
     
Regional Differences
  • The U.S. Heartland region, a major soybean-producing area, experienced higher yields per acre, which helped offset higher per-acre costs compared to some regions in Brazil. 
     
  • Mato Grosso is Brazil's largest soybean-producing state, and its production costs have been compared to those in the U.S. Heartland to assess competitiveness. 
     
  • In 2010, Argentina's cost to produce soybeans was higher than that in Brazil and the United States, according to USDA data. 
     

所有跟帖: 

你自己这个表格也表明美国的豆农在不补贴的情况下都碾压巴西豆农,如果真打价格战巴西豆农必定破产。 -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:39:19

就是个卷?那可不是豆农想要的。 -dakinglaile- 给 dakinglaile 发送悄悄话 dakinglaile 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:40:37

美国豆农不想要,巴西豆农就想要了?卷起来巴西先死。而且美国补贴得起,巴西补贴不起。真卷起来巴西必死。 -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:44:09

巴西总统亲中的政策已经惹毛了老川,老川收大量的关税补贴豆农,直接卷死巴西豆农,搞死巴西总统,是很正常的政策。 -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:45:34

打啥价格战?人家买家不理你,免费送都不要。:) -supercs88- 给 supercs88 发送悄悄话 supercs88 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:46:09

只有傻子买家才会和自己的钱包过不去,买巴西的又贵又差的大豆,不买美国的。但是世界上的傻子毕竟是少数。 -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:48:15

贸易战,傻子才资敌。 -supercs88- 给 supercs88 发送悄悄话 supercs88 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:49:25

你以为全世界就只有中国吃大豆?以前买巴西大豆的国家,现在看到美国的更便宜,还和中国一起买巴西的?中国在国际上葱都不算。 -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:51:27

到时发现美国的大豆一样卖,中国吃贵大豆。谁是傻子不清楚? -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:53:02

逻辑有毛病,既然美国大豆便宜,以前买巴西大豆的国家,为什么以前不买美国的大豆? -supercs88- 给 supercs88 发送悄悄话 supercs88 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:53:48

逻辑没毛病,以前巴西大豆根本就没多少市场,这也是巴西无法大量种植的原因。买不到美国大豆的才买巴西的。 -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:55:10

你的意思是以前巴西大豆的买家不多? -supercs88- 给 supercs88 发送悄悄话 supercs88 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 13:01:17

所以他们的转向解决不了多少问题。 -supercs88- 给 supercs88 发送悄悄话 supercs88 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 13:11:10

当然能解决问题,比如巴西阿根廷,以前是吃本地大豆,不是出口,所以没出口份额,现在自己的豆卖中国了,不就得买美国大豆吃? -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 13:19:17

他们可以扩大种植啊。 -supercs88- 给 supercs88 发送悄悄话 supercs88 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 13:32:29

所以美国大豆不是问题, -80前- 给 80前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:53:54

小同志,要算政治账。 -大号蚂蚁- 给 大号蚂蚁 发送悄悄话 大号蚂蚁 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:49:56

美国大豆要加关税的, -80前- 给 80前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:52:29

谁收美国大豆关税,老川就收这个国家的双倍关税补贴美国豆农。美国进口远大于出口,谁敢卷就来互相卷看谁死。 -咲媱- 给 咲媱 发送悄悄话 咲媱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 12:54:36

美国是最大的逆差国即最大的买家, 然后要给卖家加税。想想为什么不买或者买贵的背后的逻辑再来说别人傻子。 -dakinglaile- 给 dakinglaile 发送悄悄话 dakinglaile 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/01/2025 postreply 13:23:37

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