靠自己肯定不行,这也是以色列一个小国常用的战略 - degrading strategy - win without prolonged direct war, undermine the enemy's capacity, use surprise, intelligence and precise strikes, and avoid full-scale destruction when possible. 以前读The Art of War, 中文有一句话“以奇胜,以正合。” 以色列读没读过我没知道,但是他们用的就是这个册略。以色列当前目的不是颠倒政权,也不是摧掉全部missile launching sites,而是削弱伊朗核计划进程,逼迫它谈判。除了以上说的,还应该做什么能达到目的?
Israel has powerful tools to apply military and psychological pressure.
1. Military disruption, intelligence, reginal deterrence
2. U.S. economic sanctions, military threat credibility, diplomatic mediation
3. Gulf nations: diplomatic isolation, trade pressure
4. Domestic Iranian pressure: political fatigue, elite splits
5. IAEA: legal and technical verification mechanisms
Remmeber 2015 JCPOA nuclear deal? It is a combination of military fear, economic collapse, and international unity.
以色列做到以上方可成功。消其势,搓其锋,断其后,缓尔不争其锐,敌之力久尔不续,自败也!