You can now bet on the next steps in the Trump-Musk fallout and when they will have their first meeting
People are betting on what will happen next in the fallout between President Donald Trump and Elon Musk, including when they are likely to meet for the first time since their public split.
Betting markets are already predicting that Trump will meet with Musk by the end of the year.
Polymarket traders say there is a 57 percent chance the pair will have met up by December 31, while 30 percent predict it will be by July 31. More optimistically, 14 percent predicted they would have had their first meeting by June 30.
“Will Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?” also has a 34 percent chance on Polymarket as of Friday afternoon.
But if they are to reconcile, the world’s richest man might have to make the first move, according to Polymarket, which gave a mere 1 percent chance that Trump will apologize to Musk by Monday.
During Musk’s public meltdown Thursday, he mused about creating a new political party in America “that actually represents the 80 percent in the middle.” That has a 24 percent chance of happening by December 31, according to Polymarket traders.
The chance of Musk unfollowing Trump on social media before July is 20 percent, traders also predict.
On rival site Kalshi, there is a 57 percent chance that Trump and Musk will have a phone call before July.
