2024年底为止有87万大陆人在日本,2022年时是76万,预计超1mm到2026。移民日本最多的是大陆。
没落的日本,没落的德国,没落的美国,这怎么解释?
再看看ChatGPT 和 ds 上写的:
Japan continues to lead or outperform China in several high-tech, precision-based, and specialty product sectors. While China has rapidly advanced in many areas, Japan maintains an edge in products that require extreme precision, reliability, and long-term R&D investment.
Here are key product categories where Japanese technology is still considered more advanced than China’s:
1.
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
- Leaders: Tokyo Electron, Nikon, Canon, SCREEN Holdings, Shin-Etsu, JSR, Sumco
- Why Japan leads: Japan dominates in the high-precision equipment and specialty materials (like photoresists, wafers, and polishing chemicals) essential for chip manufacturing.
- Example: Over 80% of global photoresist supply comes from Japan.
2.
Precision Machinery & Industrial Robots
- Leaders: Fanuc, Yaskawa, Mitsubishi Electric, Kawasaki Robotics
- Why Japan leads: Japanese industrial robots are known for unmatched reliability, precision, and long service life.
- Example: Japan is still a top exporter of industrial robots, especially to high-precision manufacturing sectors like automotive and electronics.
3.
High-end Optics & Imaging Technology
- Leaders: Nikon, Canon, Olympus, Fujifilm
- Why Japan leads: Decades of R&D in optics and micro-imaging allow Japanese companies to make world-class camera lenses, medical endoscopes, and microscopes.
- Example: Olympus dominates the global market for gastrointestinal endoscopes with a 70%+ market share.
4.
Automotive Components & Hybrid Technology
- Leaders: Toyota, Denso, Aisin, Hitachi Astemo
- Why Japan leads: Japan excels in hybrid vehicle systems, powertrains, and ultra-reliable automotive parts.
- Example: Toyota’s hybrid systems are still more efficient and time-tested than most Chinese equivalents.
5.
Material Science & Specialty Chemicals
- Leaders: Toray, Asahi Kasei, Mitsubishi Chemical, Teijin
- Why Japan leads: Japan supplies cutting-edge carbon fiber, high-performance plastics, and specialty membranes.
- Example: Toray is the global leader in carbon fiber, used in aerospace and electric vehicles.
6.
Watchmaking & Micro-mechanics
- Leaders: Seiko, Citizen, Casio
- Why Japan leads: Japan still leads in high-precision timepieces, especially in quartz and kinetic watch innovation.
7.
Healthcare & Diagnostic Devices
- Leaders: Fujifilm, Shimadzu, Hitachi, Canon Medical
- Why Japan leads: High-end medical imaging (MRI, CT, endoscopy) technology from Japan is globally respected.
- Example: Fujifilm is a leader in digital radiography and diagnostics.
In Summary:
While China is catching up and even surpassing Japan in consumer electronics, EVs, and mass production scale, Japan still excels in:
- Niche, high-precision industries
- Long-cycle R&D-based innovation
- Trusted quality in B2B and industrial components
数控机床(CNC machine tools),日本依然在多个关键领域领先于中国,尤其是在高端数控系统、超精密加工、核心零部件制造等方面。下面是详细对比和分析:
日本数控机床的优势
1.
高精度与稳定性
- 日本数控机床如 OKUMA(大隈)、DMG MORI(原森精机)、Yamazaki Mazak(山崎马扎克) 以超高的加工精度、极高的设备稳定性 和 长寿命 著称。
- 精度可达到微米级,适用于航空航天、精密模具、医疗器械等领域。
2.
先进的控制系统
- 日本企业如 FANUC(发那科)和三菱电机 提供全球领先的数控系统,与机床高度集成。
- FANUC 控制系统稳定、反应速度快,广泛应用于欧美高端设备,也是世界CNC控制器的标准之一。
3.
核心零部件自给率高
- 如丝杠、导轨、电主轴、伺服驱动器、精密刀库等,几乎都为自主制造,保证整机协同与质量。
4.
行业品牌影响力强
- 如 Mazak 和 OKUMA 拥有极高的国际市场份额,是世界高端五轴联动、复合加工中心的代表品牌。
中国数控机床的现状
? 1.
中低端为主
- 中国品牌如 大连机床、沈阳机床、北一、济南二机、广州数控(GSK) 在中低端市场占有率高,主要满足国产替代和通用加工需求。
- 加工精度、稳定性、可靠性与日本品牌仍有差距,尤其是在高温长时间运转、高动态响应方面。
? 2.
高端CNC系统依赖进口
- 中国虽有自主控制系统如华中数控、宝元等,但与 FANUC、Siemens 在复杂加工控制、软件生态、用户界面等方面仍有差距。
- 高端五轴联动、复合加工设备仍依赖进口。
