https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/03/economy/reciprocal-tariff-math/index.html
For example, America’s trade deficit with China in 2024 was $295.4 billion, and the United States imported $439.9 billion worth of Chinese goods. That means China’s trade surplus with the United States was 67% of the value of its exports — a value the Trump administration labeled as “tariff charged to USA.” 美国对中国的reciprocal 关税是67%的一半:34%。
这么说来,要降低美国施加的reciprocal 关税,那就要要么降低对美国的出口,或者提高从美国的入口。某些自媒体说的,某些国家通过降低对美国的关税来和美国谈reciprocal 关税的是肯本没有摸到头脑。
如此看来reciprocal 关税不是贸易壁垒,不是要什么制造业回流,而是要平抑贸易逆差。 如果这个算法一直不变的,最终实现所谓reciprocal 零关税的是实现零贸易逆差。 但川普善变,没准那时又出来另一种算法。