还看什么Poll,比较一下2020 and 2024 early voting results就大概清楚了
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote
懒得看的话,总的数据是:
2024: D 40%, R 40%, Other 20%
2020: D 44.8% R 30.5%, Other 24.7%
无论如何,投你的票,上你的班。该是啥结果就是啥结果。