绝非耸人听闻:US could fall to a right-wing dictatorship by 2030

本帖于 2023-08-16 14:06:38 时间, 由普通用户 爪四哥 编辑

看到一脑子土共酱缸思维,顺我者昌逆我者亡的黑子们,抱团取暖大谈美式民主,肉麻地齐声高唱“美式民主永不倒”的赞歌,俺差点儿笑出内伤。哈哈

对美式民主只会盲人摸象的美吹们,舔族们,歇歇吧!嘻嘻

随手摘录了几篇,听听真正的研究美式民主的专家是怎么说的:解释

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The US could be under a rightwing dictatorship by 2030, a Canadian political science professor has warned, urging his country to protect itself against the “collapse of American democracy”.

“We mustn’t dismiss these possibilities just because they seem ludicrous or too horrible to imagine,” Thomas Homer-Dixon, founding director of the Cascade Institute at Royal Roads University in British Columbia, wrote in the Globe and Mail.

“In 2014, the suggestion that Donald Trump would become president would also have struck nearly everyone as absurd. But today we live in a world where the absurd regularly becomes real and the horrible commonplace.”

Homer-Dixon’s message was blunt:

“By 2025, American democracy could collapse, causing extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence. By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be governed by a rightwing dictatorship.”

 

The author cited eventualities centered on a Trump return to the White House in 2024, possibly including Republican-held state legislatures refusing to accept a Democratic win.

Trump, he warned, “will have only two objectives, vindication and vengeance” of the lie that his 2020 defeat by Joe Biden was the result of electoral fraud.

A “scholar of violent conflict” for more than four decades, Homer-Dixon said Canada must take heed of the “unfolding crisis”.

“A terrible storm is coming from the south, and Canada is woefully unprepared. Over the past year we’ve turned our attention inward, distracted by the challenges of Covid-19, reconciliation and the accelerating effects of climate change.

“But now we must focus on the urgent problem of what to do about the likely unraveling of democracy in the United States. We need to start by fully recognising the magnitude of the danger. If Mr Trump is re-elected, even under the more optimistic scenarios the economic and political risks to our country will be innumerable.”

Homer-Dixon said he even saw a scenario in which a new Trump administration, having effectively nullified internal opposition, deliberately damaged its northern neighbor.

“Under the less-optimistic scenarios, the risks to our country in their cumulative effect could easily be existential, far greater than any in our federation’s history. What happens, for instance, if high-profile political refugees fleeing persecution arrive in our country and the US regime demands them back. Do we comply?”

 

Trump, he said, “and a host of acolytes and wannabes such as Fox [News]’s Tucker Carlson and Georgia representative Marjorie Taylor Greene”, had transformed the Republican party “into a near-fascist personality cult that’s a perfect instrument for wrecking democracy”.

Worse, he said, Trump “may be just a warm-up act”.

“Returning to office, he’ll be the wrecking ball that demolishes democracy but the process will produce a political and social shambles,” Homer-Dixon said.

“Still, through targeted harassment and dismissal, he’ll be able to thin the ranks of his movement’s opponents within the state, the bureaucrats, officials and technocrats who oversee the non-partisan functioning of core institutions and abide by the rule of law.

“Then the stage will be set for a more managerially competent ruler, after Mr Trump, to bring order to the chaos he’s created.”

I hope you appreciated this article. Before you move on, I was hoping you would consider taking the step of supporting the Guardian’s journalism. 

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And we avoid the trap that befalls much US media – the tendency, born of a desire to please all sides, to engage in false equivalence in the name of neutrality. While fairness guides everything we do, we know there is a right and a wrong position in the fight against racism and for reproductive justice. When we report on issues like the climate crisis, we’re not afraid to name who is responsible. And as a global news organization, we’re able to provide a fresh, outsider perspective on US politics – one so often missing from the insular American media bubble. 

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所有跟帖: 

有高院与众院制衡,现在不能算是left-wing dictatorship -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:35:21

焖蹄是:白人领袖要把黄种人与子孙后代送入焚尸炉。。。 -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:28:57

先把焖蹄吃完再说话. -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:42:12

美眉说话礼貌,逻辑性又强! - MoonlightBee - -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (199 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:53:18

完全可能。美国两党越来越极端化,不是什么好兆头。 -为人父- 给 为人父 发送悄悄话 为人父 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:11:59

为咱们的子孙后代担忧啊!好在旁边还有个加拿大。。。。 -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (209 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:34:22

"could", "might", "may be". 呵呵 -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:16:34

"四哥", 请教一下: 没有国会两院和最高法支持,何来right-wing dictator? -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:19:22

第一条根本不可能 -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:27:35

那为什么没有出现独裁者? -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:38:33

因为以前,民粹主义一直被两党打压。现在,在美国汹涌澎湃 -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:45:19

川普执政前两年,也是两会,白宫同属一党. -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:55:53

那时候民粹主义与现在相比,可以忽略不计 -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 15:04:33

UU留意最近以色列的政治风暴了没有?看看内唐亚胡右翼政府是如何消弱高院与议会权力的 -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:25:33

2020没有成功,最近几年难。 -LexusOnly- 给 LexusOnly 发送悄悄话 LexusOnly 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:21:05

还有一种可能,就是美国分裂:以德州为首的红脖子州从美国独立出去 -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:30:53

不管左还是右,要独裁首先是修宪废除三权分立,以色列已经有这个苗头,要废除独立司法。 -viBravo5- 给 viBravo5 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:25:24

英雄所见略同,刚刚在楼上回答了UU -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:26:16

修宪废除三权分立,敢提议的还没生下来. -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:49:08

老川2020连任成功的话,美国的三权分立制度就会面临与现在以色列同样的处境 -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:51:39

也是臆想 -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:57:57

不只是美国,随着西方国家穆斯林和非裔人口比例增加,西方制度很难继续玩下去,要么逃亡要么打破制度 -21-C- 给 21-C 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:30:27

法国的穆斯林黑人国会议员已经提议案:要把法国改为法兰西斯坦,因为黑人与穆斯林很快就要超过法国人口的50% -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:32:53

中国人多了以后,也会要求合法"裹小脚"的. -最接近太阳的人- 给 最接近太阳的人 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:38:34

黑人与穆斯林如果都像您这样自黑自恨,该有多好! -爪四哥- 给 爪四哥 发送悄悄话 爪四哥 的博客首页 (167 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:41:18

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