【老看客按】Daily kos是在过去一年多以来本人了解俄乌战争最新进展的最有价值的英文网站之一。其尊重事实、客观评述、即时更新,令人印象深刻。现将今日更新中关于乌军渡河在第聂伯河东岸建立桥头堡、并遭俄军炮击的部分摘译如下,以便帮助网友们了解最新的进展。今天的更新是美国东部时间下午4点31分钟完成的。根据DAILY KOS的一贯做法,如果有新的重大变化,他们会做及时的更新。
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很难相信,乌克兰在赫尔松城对面的第聂伯河东岸建立的小规模阵地将会成为收复该地区领土的真正推动力。 由于没有任何类型的功能性桥梁可供利用、并且俄军的炮火可以覆盖整个可以搭设浮桥的范围,乌军用驳船穿梭过河的部队以安东尼夫卡大桥为掩护在河东岸建立了桥头堡,但要发挥更大的辐射作用似乎不容易。
然而,尽管这小股乌军很不起眼,他们不仅在通往奥列什基(Oleshky)的路上与俄军交战,而且在顽强地守护着桥头堡,似乎很难被推回到河对岸。
周五,俄军用两枚伊斯坎德尔短程弹道导弹袭击了乌克兰的桥头堡阵地,现暂停了炮击。 这里的“短程”是弹道导弹术语,该导弹的射程仍然有大约 500 公里。袭击乌军的这两枚导弹很可能是从克里米亚纵深处的某个地方发射的,每枚导弹都携带一个质量在 700 到 800 公斤之间的高爆弹头。
然而,导弹袭击之后,乌军基地似乎依然运作正常,人员和武器装备都在活动。 如此,要么是伊斯坎德尔导弹射偏了,要么是乌军确实已在桥头堡位置扎稳了根。
看起来,俄军似乎还尝试了用不同的方法重新控制赫尔松海滨地区,但也未能取得好的效果。
到目前为止,乌军维持安东尼夫卡桥头堡阵地的能力令人惊讶,但如果该桥头堡的作用不仅仅是用于吸引俄军的攻击,乌军将需要找到一个办法来巩固这一阵地,并沿着 第聂伯罗河左岸建立更多的此类桥头堡。
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/6/30/2178590/-Ukraine-Update-Worrying-news-from-the-Zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant
by Mark Sumner for Daily Kos, at
It’s difficult to believe the small Ukrainian position established on the east bank of the Dnipro River across from Kherson will turn into any kind of genuine push to regain territory in this region. Without any kind of functional bridge, and with Russian artillery in range of any pontoon bridge that might be established, it seems unlikely that what Ukraine has shuttled across the river on barges represents a force sufficient to move much beyond their literal bridgehead in the shadow of the Antonivka Bridge.
However, even this small group sure does seem to be making a pest of itself. In addition to fighting with Russian forces along the road to Oleshky, the Ukrainian troops seem stubbornly hard to push back across the river.
On Friday, Russia took a break from shelling the Ukrainian position long enough to hit the Ukrainian base with a pair of Iskander short-range ballistic missiles. The “short range” in this case is in ballistic missile terms, as this weapon is still good for about 500 km. It’s likely that this pair was fired from somewhere well down in Crimea, Each of the missiles carries a high explosive warhead massing between 700 and 800 kg.
However, following the strike the Ukrainian base still appears to be up and active, with both men and machines visibly moving about. Either the Iskanders missed, or the Ukrainian forces are really dug in well at their bridgehead position.
It appears that Russia made another attempt to regain control of things along the Kherson waterfront using a different method. That one also did not go well. (Trigger warning for very visible violence against individuals.)
Ukraine’s ability to maintain this position so far is astounding, but if the Antonivka bridgehead is going to do more than absorb Russian attacks, Ukraine is going to need a way to reinforce this position and to establish other such bridgeheads along the “left” bank of the Dnipro.