美国大西洋月刊文章: 中国可能很快就会成为雄踞亚洲的军事力量。中国正在赶上甚至超过美国在东亚的军事力量。

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2023/05/china-military-size-power-asia-pacific/673933/

China Could Soon Be the Dominant Military Power in Asia

Preserving Pacific alliances will require America to step up its commitments.

By Michael Schuman

 

EVER since the defeat of japan in World War II nearly 80 years ago, the United States has been the preeminent military power in East Asia. Today China is on the verge of matching or even eclipsing the U.S. military’s presence in the region, having marshaled its newly acquired wealth and technological prowess to expand the scale and capabilities of its armed forces.

The military balance between the U.S. and China in Asia is “very delicate and trending in an unfavorable direction in this decade for the U.S. and its allies,” Elbridge Colby, a co-founder of the Marathon Initiative, a policy-research organization, and a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of defense, told me. “We should regard ourselves in a dead-heat race against an incredibly formidable competitor and take nothing for granted.”

所有跟帖： 

• 如果事实上，中国的军事力量在西太平洋地区接近美国，而美国再无视事实，强行在西太平洋行使霸权，一定会遭到法国奠边府式的溃败 -easycity- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 19:57:10

• 假设美国完全退出西太,对世界整体而言是好事还是坏事? -Uusequery- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:05:01

• 明摆着的事. 意识形态,利益,..... -Uusequery- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:11:12

• 放下意识形态，一起发财多好，非要遏制别人，又没那个能力 -StewartPlatform- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:45:08

• 美国的外交力量退出了中东，好像除了以色列人，其他中东人都挺高兴。美国的外交在东盟已经没有什么存在感了，东盟也挺高兴 -easycity- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:17:20

• 那德先退出核不扩散条约。 -80前- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:25:35

• 这个潘多拉盒子一打开世界的拥核国会迅速增加。 -80前- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:27:23

• 还不如把世界的核武集中起来每个国家发5枚。 -80前- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:32:19

• 美国和俄罗斯各有三万枚核弹。世界上一百多个国家，每个可分到三百枚。冰岛的每个小镇可以分到一枚，放在村口，游客都摸一摸。 -easycity- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:43:27

• 在美国有持枪执照的可以随便买。 -80前- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:45:50

• 战术的就行 -80前- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:46:17

• 您可真会自嗨 -玻璃坊- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/05/2023 postreply 04:21:05

• 英国人对实力的判断是最准确的。因为大国地位加入一战，损失一半青壮人口以后，就没有重大失误了。放弃香港，反夺马岛，决策典范 -easycity- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:28:55

• 法国在拿破仑以后，就再也没有出过拥有战场直觉的军人了。政治家的国际政治直觉也低下到可怕。美国会像英国人还是法国人？不好说 -easycity- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/04/2023 postreply 20:39:54