Why are subways in the U.S. so expensive?

来源: cn_abcd 2021-04-04 06:23:14 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (37741 bytes)

The ability to send trains hurtling through underground tunnels remains one of the great feats of human ingenuity, but it doesn’t come cheap. That’s especially true in the U.S., where rail costs routinely exceed other nations.

Transit researcher Alon Levy estimates the rest of the developed world typically builds underground subways for about $350 million per mile. Even the cheapest U.S. project in recent years, Seattle’s U-Link, cost nearly double the average in other countries, at $600 million per mile. New York’s East Side Access project currently costs more than 10 times Levy’s estimated average.

Cost of recent and current subways that run entirely or predominantly underground

Underground subway Length Estimated cost* Cost per mile*
New York East Side Access 3 miles $11.1 billion $3.7 billion
New York Second Avenue Subway (2017) 1.8 miles $4.5 billion $2.5 billion
Los Angeles Purple Line Extension 9 miles $8.4 billion $930 million
San Francisco Central Subway 1.7 miles $1.6 billion $928 million
Seattle U-Link (2012) 3 miles $1.8 billion $600 million
London Crossrail 13.7 miles £17.6 billion £1.3 billion
Tokyo Metro Fukutoshin Line (2008) 5.5 miles $2.2 billion $400 million
Berlin U55 (2009) 1.1 miles $360 million $327 million
Barcelona L9/L10 30 miles $7.3 billion $243 million
Naples Metro Line 6 (2012) 3.1 miles $600 million $194 million
Milan Metro Line 5 Extension 8 miles $1.4 billion $175 million

*Costs converted into U.S. dollars using current exchange rates

As it sprints to build miles of new subway lines before hosting the 2028 summer Olympics, the City of Los Angeles brought in an independent consultant to recommend cost-cutting practices. For instance, the Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority now sends scout teams out, ahead of construction, to search for any unmarked power lines or other utility equipment in the path of tunneling that could cause delays.

On the corner of Wilshire and La Brea, dump move trucks in and out of a staging area for the first leg of the nine-mile Purple Line extension. It’s tightly-coordinated. A truck moves under an excavator, which heaps into the truck bed dirt from the tunneling site 90-feet below; the truck pulls away and another inches under the excavator. “The dump trucks are as important to the project’s schedule as the tunnel boring machine,” said Rick Clarke, the project manager.

Despite the planning, Metro estimates the extension will cost about $1 billion per mile — three times the norm in other countries. Why is it so expensive?

“That’s a good question,” said Clarke. “Sometimes I ask my staff, when did projects start costing so much?”

 

 

An excavator loads dirt from the tunneling site into dump trucks at a staging area for the Los Angeles Purple Line extension.

 

Standard reasons that don’t actually explain the cost

Google around, and you can find lists of commonlycited reasons for why U.S. projects cost so much. To name a few: the high costs of labor agreements and union contracts; strong property rights and expensive land driving up acquisition costs; and the complexity of American projects due to the density of the cities that subways must travel through.

But Tracy Gordon at the Tax Policy Center says all of these are issues that other countries contend with, too. “What’s interesting is how you can come up with a counter example for almost every explanation,” said Gordon.

Levy, the researcher, who is based in Germany, is studying differences in international costs like this. He believes these types of “explanations” for increased rail expenses in the U.S. are really just excuses.

On labor cost: “100%, excuse,” said Levy. “In the Nordic countries, where the majority of the labor force is unionized, the costs are pretty low. In Texas, a right-to-work state, costs are basically the same as in, let’s say, Massachusetts.”

On property rights: “In Japan, or France, if the landowners aren’t happy, they riot. In the United States, the best they can do is ask for a little bit more money.”

On density: “It’s the exact opposite,” said Levy. “Usually, American cities are less dense, so you’d expect costs to be lower.”

Transit experts like Levy and Gordon have suspicions about what could truly be driving U.S. costs above other nations. Neither of them is the first to note that any given project may require a tangle of local, state and federal agencies to sign off on it, or fund it, potentially creating excessive bureaucracy.

Due to the objections of a few vocal constituents, individual local officials or lawmakers may also have more power to impede a project or change its course. The bidding or planning processes typically used by U.S. cities may contain flaws that other countries don’t have — for instance, a reliance on formulas that award the lowest-bidding contractor the work, even if that contractor has a history of coming in over budget, ultimately.

Where other countries generally build smaller subway stations, where riders walk down directly to the track level, subways in the U.S. almost always include huge, multi-level stations with mezzanines.

But we don’t know

Levy says these are really just theories. “It’s the sort of thing we need to study more,” he said. But he thinks there’s an underlying philosophy in the U.S. that has allowed these costs to fester — and it’s the same reason that we don’t know what they are. “In the United States, they never look at best industry practices outside the U.S.,” Levy said. “It’s kind of jarring.”

When LA Metro brought in its outside consultant to make cost-control recommendations, it analyzed eight other transit agencies. Only one was from outside the U.S.: London, which is currently building Europe’s most expensive subway, the Crossrail.

For Clarke’s part, he says he’d welcome a trip abroad. “Personally, I’d like to have my boss send me to Spain and France and Germany, to find out how they’re doing it,” said the overseer of LA’s subway projects. “And, actually, it would be a good, valuable thing.”

所有跟帖: 

从这篇2019的文章看,拜登的基建计划结果可能不咋样 -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/04/2021 postreply 06:24:13

只要私有化,造价立马下降。 -stop-loss- 给 stop-loss 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/04/2021 postreply 06:44:00

第一,不可能私有化,私有化后利润从何而来? -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/04/2021 postreply 06:47:14

第二,私有化后也不见得会降低成本,资本家虽然愿意降低成本,但是有限制的 -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/04/2021 postreply 06:48:40

在西方国家公共设施公有化一定有它的道理 -武卯- 给 武卯 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/04/2021 postreply 06:51:11

道理就是选票和利润的冲突 -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/04/2021 postreply 06:59:52

修路第一是制造就业机会,让最多的人有机会挣钱。私有化是让最少的人就业挣钱 -遥遥- 给 遥遥 发送悄悄话 遥遥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/04/2021 postreply 07:37:54

按他们建一条普通高速需要25年的速度,建成subway至少需要30年,30年的工资和其它费用当然很高。 -Gingerflower- 给 Gingerflower 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/04/2021 postreply 07:45:19

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