CNN最新预测:Trump will lose in a landslide because of the economy, n

https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/20/business/economy-election-trump-biden-jobs/index.html

New York (CNN Business)The economy has gone from President Donald Trump's greatest political asset to perhaps his biggest weakness.

Unemployment is spiking at an unprecedented rate. Consumer spending is vanishing. And GDP is collapsing. History shows that dreadful economic trends like these spell doom for sitting presidents seeking reelection.
The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics predicted.
The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide, capturing just 35% of the popular vote. That's a sharp reversal from the model's pre-crisis prediction that Trump would win about 55% of the vote. And it would be the worst performance for an incumbent in a century.

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虽然他任上到处一塌糊涂,我觉得他还会大概率连任。一是民主党无人,二是很多人对他有faith,一种信仰 -bridge008- 给 bridge008 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:08:33

很多人是为了绝对不能让民主党上台而选川普 -落花起作回风舞- 给 落花起作回风舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:48:11

CNN还预测希拉里赢 -piris1987- 给 piris1987 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:13:49

美国会很快强势反弹,而这次疫情民主党的州普遍表现很差 -eggburger- 给 eggburger 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:19:03

我基本上停止收看收听MSM,是2008年,那一年所有的媒体心口一致地为奥巴马唱赞歌,我就知道媒体出问题了,但2016年对川普的报 -落花起作回风舞- 给 落花起作回风舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:51:42

但2016年对川普的报道让我彻底放弃MSM -落花起作回风舞- 给 落花起作回风舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:52:16

一般不看新闻,需要的时候就几个不同来源对照着看看,分析一下再做判断 -落花起作回风舞- 给 落花起作回风舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:04:33

那还是msm,不过就是不rely on一个msm。 我是看cnn为主,有时看看Fox News。 -voiceofme- 给 voiceofme 发送悄悄话 voiceofme 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:06:10

需要的时候少,而且不是CNN、NBC、ABC或Fox等新闻媒体,而是WSJ,Bloomberg,BusinessInsider之 -落花起作回风舞- 给 落花起作回风舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:11:01

学川普,做孤家寡人吗? -又到了夏天- 给 又到了夏天 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:05:10

那倒也没啥,管他风云变幻,我还是过自己的日子,做点事情有点收入管好孩子读点书……生活不就是这些吗 -落花起作回风舞- 给 落花起作回风舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:08:25

CNN上一次也是说川普会输个landslide -落花起作回风舞- 给 落花起作回风舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:47:15

川普是历史上首个有幸输两个Landslide的候选人 -mojomojo- 给 mojomojo 发送悄悄话 mojomojo 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:58:57

CNN 还闲丢人不够? -stop-loss- 给 stop-loss 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 20:06:00

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