ABC News: 血样检测显示,2020年5至7月,美国未被发现的新冠患者已达1700万。。。

来源: 红烧茄子- 2021-06-24 13:08:07 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (4502 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ 红烧茄子- ] 在 2021-06-24 13:09:52 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

US had nearly 17 million undiagnosed COVID-19 cases in early months of pandemic

https://abcnews.go.com/Health/us-17-million-undiagnosed-covid-19-cases-early/story?id=78447577

Blood samples were collected from 8,058 volunteer participants primarily between May 10 and July 31, 2020, which were then analyzed to detect antibodies against COVID-19. Of the approximate 8,000 blood samples, 304 contained antibodies.

Based on those findings, the researchers estimated that 4.6% of U.S. adults had undiagnosed cases of COVID-19 during their study period -- which was also at a time when labs were still reporting a shortage of supplies and personal protective equipment needed to test patients.

The NIH report, which was published this week in Science Translational Medicine, represents the first data from a 12-month study launched in April 2020.

By analyzing blood samples of more than 8,000 people who were not previously diagnosed with the virus -- along with socioeconomic, health and demographic data -- NIH researchers estimated that for every diagnosed COVID-19 case during the spring and summer of 2020, there were 4.8 undiagnosed cases -- representing an additional 16.8 million cases.

"The estimate of COVID-19 cases in the United States in mid-July 2020, 3 million in a population of 330 million, should be revised upwards by almost 20 million when the percent of asymptomatic positive results is included,"

 

所有跟帖: 

美国在按自己的节奏,揭露真相。最后,得出民主自优越 -Simiguy- 给 Simiguy 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/24/2021 postreply 13:16:00

2019年12月的血样显示当时已有约470万感染者,与此报告对比可知5个月翻3.6倍。按此估算美国疫情至少起源于2019年夏天。 -红烧茄子-- 给 红烧茄子- 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/24/2021 postreply 14:03:36

如果是说2020年5月到7月的话,并没有太意外。早期感染者数量每5天左右翻一翻。从1百万到1千万只需不到20天。 -oueeii- 给 oueeii 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/24/2021 postreply 14:45:30

早期美国检测滞后,加上无症状以及轻症,觉得“没被发现”的人数比例不算意外 -oueeii- 给 oueeii 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/24/2021 postreply 15:39:29

检测不足从检测阳性率中也可以看出。去年5月的美国阳性率超过20% -oueeii- 给 oueeii 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/24/2021 postreply 17:16:06

请您先登陆,再发跟帖!

发现Adblock插件

如要继续浏览
请支持本站 请务必在本站关闭/移除任何Adblock

关闭Adblock后 请点击

请参考如何关闭Adblock/Adblock plus

安装Adblock plus用户请点击浏览器图标
选择“Disable on www.wenxuecity.com”

安装Adblock用户请点击图标
选择“don't run on pages on this domain”