好消息，带枪的被枪杀的机会比不带枪的要高4倍半
来源: zd3y 于 2012-12-17 16:21:31 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读：115次 字体：调大/调小/重置 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 | 加跟贴 | 查看当前最热讨论主题
Carrying a gun increases risk of getting shot and killed
15:26 06 October 2009 by Ewen Callaway
For similar stories, visit the US national issues Topic Guide
Packing heat may backfire. People who carry guns are far likelier to get shot – and killed – than those who are unarmed, a study of shooting victims in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, has found.
It would be impractical – not to say unethical – to randomly assign volunteers to carry a gun or not and see what happens. So Charles Branas's team at the University of Pennsylvania analysed 677 shootings over two-and-a-half years to discover whether victims were carrying at the time, and compared them to other Philly residents of similar age, sex and ethnicity. The team also accounted for other potentially confounding differences, such as the socioeconomic status of their neighbourhood.
Despite the US having the highest rate of firearms-related homicide in the industrialised world, the relationship between gun culture and violence is poorly understood. A recent study found that treating violence like an infectious disease led to a dramatic fall in shootings and killings.
Overall, Branas's study found that people who carried guns were 4.5 times as likely to be shot and 4.2 times as likely to get killed compared with unarmed citizens. When the team looked at shootings in which victims had a chance to defend themselves, their odds of getting shot were even higher.
While it may be that the type of people who carry firearms are simply more likely to get shot, it may be that guns give a sense of empowerment that causes carriers to overreact in tense situations, or encourages them to visit neighbourhoods they probably shouldn't, Branas speculates. Supporters of the Second Amendment shouldn't worry that the right to bear arms is under threat, however. "We don't have an answer as to whether guns are protective or perilous," Branas says. "This study is a beginning."
Daniel Webster, co-director of the Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Policy and Research in Baltimore, Maryland, thinks it is near-sighted to consider only the safety of gun owners and not their communities. "It affects others a heck of a lot more," he says.
zd3y发过的热帖：
丢死 人啦. --替12个月宝宝抓了一把
回复：怎么让孩子早一年上学?
我 看那个:中国人在美国的故事。
刚给孩子 买 了一 架 新 的珠江钢琴，baby ground, $5500
能 说那个保姆没有损害别人的利益吗?
To ;ppd
您的位置: 文学城首页 » 热点讨论主题 » 子女教育
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• not surprised. You become bolder when yo -老忽叔叔- ♂ (150 bytes) (21 reads) 12/17/12 16:31:17
• Agree. 回复：not surprised. You become bold -2544- (0 bytes) (1 reads) 12/17/12 17:03:35
• 但是带枪的枪杀别人的机会比不带枪的要高1万倍都不止，你以为这些冷血动物会放弃？ -jit- (0 bytes) (2 reads) 12/17/12 16:32:44
• 这很容易理解。疯子除外，正常人不到万不得已时不会杀人，有枪的 -文学村民- ♂ (226 bytes) (49 reads) 12/17/12 16:36:56
• 玩枪的人可能会有臆想有啥机会或借口在真人身上试一下 :) -网恋无罪- ♂ (0 bytes) (2 reads) 12/17/12 16:44:45
• 不带枪的 are much more likely to knee down! -fakegreen- ♂ (20 bytes) (12 reads) 12/17/12 17:11:29
• or hands up! -fakegreen- ♂ (0 bytes) (0 reads) 12/17/12 17:30:38
• 这个算什么好消息？别人被杀你高兴？ --百科-- (0 bytes) (1 reads) 12/17/12 17:26:53
• "身怀利器，杀心自起”。与人争斗，打嘴巴踢几脚和打一枪的区别大了去了。 -prouddd- (0 bytes) (0 reads) 12/17/12 17:29:14
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来源: zd3y 于 2012-12-17 16:21:31 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读：115次 字体：调大/调小/重置 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 | 加跟贴 | 查看当前最热讨论主题
Carrying a gun increases risk of getting shot and killed
15:26 06 October 2009 by Ewen Callaway
For similar stories, visit the US national issues Topic Guide
Packing heat may backfire. People who carry guns are far likelier to get shot – and killed – than those who are unarmed, a study of shooting victims in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, has found.
It would be impractical – not to say unethical – to randomly assign volunteers to carry a gun or not and see what happens. So Charles Branas's team at the University of Pennsylvania analysed 677 shootings over two-and-a-half years to discover whether victims were carrying at the time, and compared them to other Philly residents of similar age, sex and ethnicity. The team also accounted for other potentially confounding differences, such as the socioeconomic status of their neighbourhood.
Despite the US having the highest rate of firearms-related homicide in the industrialised world, the relationship between gun culture and violence is poorly understood. A recent study found that treating violence like an infectious disease led to a dramatic fall in shootings and killings.
Overall, Branas's study found that people who carried guns were 4.5 times as likely to be shot and 4.2 times as likely to get killed compared with unarmed citizens. When the team looked at shootings in which victims had a chance to defend themselves, their odds of getting shot were even higher.
While it may be that the type of people who carry firearms are simply more likely to get shot, it may be that guns give a sense of empowerment that causes carriers to overreact in tense situations, or encourages them to visit neighbourhoods they probably shouldn't, Branas speculates. Supporters of the Second Amendment shouldn't worry that the right to bear arms is under threat, however. "We don't have an answer as to whether guns are protective or perilous," Branas says. "This study is a beginning."
Daniel Webster, co-director of the Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Policy and Research in Baltimore, Maryland, thinks it is near-sighted to consider only the safety of gun owners and not their communities. "It affects others a heck of a lot more," he says.
zd3y发过的热帖：
丢死 人啦. --替12个月宝宝抓了一把
回复：怎么让孩子早一年上学?
我 看那个:中国人在美国的故事。
刚给孩子 买 了一 架 新 的珠江钢琴，baby ground, $5500
能 说那个保姆没有损害别人的利益吗?
To ;ppd
您的位置: 文学城首页 » 热点讨论主题 » 子女教育
所有跟帖：
• not surprised. You become bolder when yo -老忽叔叔- ♂ (150 bytes) (21 reads) 12/17/12 16:31:17
• Agree. 回复：not surprised. You become bold -2544- (0 bytes) (1 reads) 12/17/12 17:03:35
• 但是带枪的枪杀别人的机会比不带枪的要高1万倍都不止，你以为这些冷血动物会放弃？ -jit- (0 bytes) (2 reads) 12/17/12 16:32:44
• 这很容易理解。疯子除外，正常人不到万不得已时不会杀人，有枪的 -文学村民- ♂ (226 bytes) (49 reads) 12/17/12 16:36:56
• 玩枪的人可能会有臆想有啥机会或借口在真人身上试一下 :) -网恋无罪- ♂ (0 bytes) (2 reads) 12/17/12 16:44:45
• 不带枪的 are much more likely to knee down! -fakegreen- ♂ (20 bytes) (12 reads) 12/17/12 17:11:29
• or hands up! -fakegreen- ♂ (0 bytes) (0 reads) 12/17/12 17:30:38
• 这个算什么好消息？别人被杀你高兴？ --百科-- (0 bytes) (1 reads) 12/17/12 17:26:53
• "身怀利器，杀心自起”。与人争斗，打嘴巴踢几脚和打一枪的区别大了去了。 -prouddd- (0 bytes) (0 reads) 12/17/12 17:29:14
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