和TT/Monkeyboy 唱一下反调,

来源: planotx 2012-11-14 19:01:09 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (1160 bytes)
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资产配置和你的goal/风险承受度 关系不大

Really, investing in the field you know/understand/comfortable with is more important than diversification or risk tolerance.

Most success/rich poeple do not diversify and they invest in the field they know.  If you want to depend on diversifying to the field you do not know, you are in deep trouble becasue you could pick a wrong entry point or wrong exit point.

Most poeple on this board are good at the field they are in.  They can make good money in that field.  When they have extra cash on hand, they want to invest.  Why not invest more in the field you are already good at?  Study the leader in that field and find way to invest in that leader or future leader.

I use to believe in diversification,  But no more after 2001 and 2008/2009 stock market crash.  When crash, diversification does not help.  Dow/qqq/S&P gain nothing in 12 years.

Risk tolerance is easy to say and hard to figure out.  

Now, I believe in DCA if I wnat to be more passive.  (many discussion on DCA, no intend to repeat it here.)

所有跟帖: 

是这个理,俺就是没有长处,所以就乖乖地持有股票和现金。 -08明前茶- 给 08明前茶 发送悄悄话 08明前茶 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 19:16:21

you are really good at something I am not... -planotx- 给 planotx 发送悄悄话 (35 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 19:38:12

这个,这个长处 -08明前茶- 给 08明前茶 发送悄悄话 08明前茶 的博客首页 (31 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 19:46:00

She got million dollar legs. -WQPY- 给 WQPY 发送悄悄话 WQPY 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 22:57:58

LOL... -Jeepster- 给 Jeepster 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/15/2012 postreply 06:40:27

这题目在坛里讨论过,米大也是反对分散风险。 -虎落平原- 给 虎落平原 发送悄悄话 虎落平原 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 19:16:38

to be accurate, diversification in 2001 internet .com crash -Jeepster- 给 Jeepster 发送悄悄话 (807 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 20:04:10

Actually 30-Year Treasury Bond Gave Your Much Better Return Than -monkeyboy- 给 monkeyboy 发送悄悄话 (97 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 20:41:55

yes, a portfolio of 50% S&P 500 index and 50% bond -Jeepster- 给 Jeepster 发送悄悄话 (192 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 20:56:48

agree how to rebalance is very important -planotx- 给 planotx 发送悄悄话 (493 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 20:51:43

I have been using Birkshire Hathaway stock as the center -Jeepster- 给 Jeepster 发送悄悄话 (78 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 21:01:10

smart, very smart... -planotx- 给 planotx 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/14/2012 postreply 21:28:26

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