它可以让你一夜暴富,也可以让你一文莫名-由痴一生兄的为女儿投资想到的

来源: monkeyboy 2012-08-20 10:35:48 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (3302 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ monkeyboy ] 在 2012-08-20 10:45:40 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

首先得感谢痴一生兄open up他为女儿操作的investment record,让大家了解他的position,才有我在这里的胡说八道。

I believe 股票市场上投资风险巨大的,可是也可能让你一夜暴富的是两个板块,development stage biotech 和 junoir mining。

先谈谈junior mining company 的 life cycle。They get fundung, start exloration,this phase is highly speculative, risk is the highest. If they don't find anything, they go busted. As soon as they find mineral reserve, the share price can shoop up like rockets, and investors can make 500% return easily.

You find you are the lucky one and ready to buy your dream yacht, right? Not just yet, please put your idea on hold.

If you don't get out in time, you'll see the share price drop like a rock. That's when investors realize that the company is not going to make any money for years to come. Because it takes years to build a mine, and it takes trememdous capital to build and operate a mine. Even if you can put a mine in operation, the rising cost can kill your margin. Don't believe it, take a look at Barrick Gold, Newmont Mining, even Freeport. OK now the share price is on the bottom, the company looks like a dead fish under the sun. But don't count them out just yet. The expolation keeps going on, and they find more reserve and the reserver is 10 times larger than they reported previously. Bam, it shoots up again, then crashes again.

Take a look at Seabridge Gold and Miranda Mineral Holdings, you will understand what I am talking about.

Same boom-buster cycle can be said for lots of small biotech companies. They have to go through phase 1, phase 2 clinic trial. It can be years before the compnay start making profits.

you have to know what you're doing and you have to have risk capital available. Like you wouldn't take your life savings to Vegas, you don't want to bet your house on these stocks.

You have to do tons of research. And yes, you have to check with your best sources in the industry if you decide to invest in junior mining or development stage biotech.

Investment in Real Estate or Stock is hard work. There is no short cut.You have to build your knowledge base, you have to cut down your cost, you have to turn the odds in your favor. It is all about hard work.Take a look at JY, it takes lots of effort for him to build his knowlwdge about AC, he drives hundred of miles to get condensors for $300, in the hot summer days, he takes his crew to fix ACs, it is all about hard work, guys.

Think about that. On Saturday evening, some people went to karaoki (you know whom I am talking about :-), some people was watching 非诚勿扰 (again you know whom I am talking about :-), someone was reading investment analysis, someone was doing investment research.

It is not about just click mouse a couple of times.

It is about discipline and patience. It is about you know what price to pay. It is about you wait for the market to come to you. It is about you have nerves of steel. It is about do the very best, most detailed research. It is about you really, truly know what you're doing and why. It is about you are prepared for plenty of volatility.

 

 

 

 

 

所有跟帖: 

利润与风险成正比,当个地主风险小些(有的地区根本没风险)。 -backchina888- 给 backchina888 发送悄悄话 backchina888 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:43:02

那些地方没风险,我们都想知道, Seriously。 -monkeyboy- 给 monkeyboy 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:53:56

请问问TT,他有论述的。另Miat42一年多前买的房子至少都double了,当然,这么好的时机、这么好的回报可能不多或没有了 -backchina888- 给 backchina888 发送悄悄话 backchina888 的博客首页 (118 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:00:13

Well said! -痴一生- 给 痴一生 发送悄悄话 痴一生 的博客首页 (142 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:48:06

Bingo! I Believe That's Why You Waited Until A Big Pharma to Kic -monkeyboy- 给 monkeyboy 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:51:43

This is what I did for my kids -ZhangZhouDaTou- 给 ZhangZhouDaTou 发送悄悄话 ZhangZhouDaTou 的博客首页 (845 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 19:45:27

excellent way of teaching them about investing. -痴一生- 给 痴一生 发送悄悄话 痴一生 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 20:53:49

DDDDD,我昨天下工地了,累得爬上来要梁山讲故事。 -SunshineInCA- 给 SunshineInCA 发送悄悄话 (40 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:55:00

有1个躺着上来的... -jy101- 给 jy101 发送悄悄话 jy101 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:03:58

there ain't free lunches anywhere... -jy101- 给 jy101 发送悄悄话 jy101 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:05:46

DDD. 痴一生选股的定力,是多年修行得来的。哪是点点鼠标的事? -R&D- 给 R&D 发送悄悄话 R&D 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:26:21

猴兄又戳破了我一夜暴富的梦想 -melody2010- 给 melody2010 发送悄悄话 melody2010 的博客首页 (1614 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:56:50

你回来了啊 -R&D- 给 R&D 发送悄悄话 R&D 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 12:08:29

没事,师傅多才能出高徒呢。你看郭大侠,多少师傅。 -Morning3evening4- 给 Morning3evening4 发送悄悄话 Morning3evening4 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 12:11:02

创业,一种为民族的崛起和超越而奋斗! -流浪者的梦- 给 流浪者的梦 发送悄悄话 流浪者的梦 的博客首页 (21561 bytes) () 09/10/2012 postreply 21:41:38

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