借你快兄的跟帖,我来大概讲讲为什么房市不会崩盘,而是调整?

来源: hhtt 2018-12-14 20:05:18 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (1963 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ hhtt ] 在 2018-12-15 18:33:01 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

For the past 8 or 9 years, Federal Reserve Bank has had a very accomodated policy to help US economy, which translates to 'Cheap Money'.  As the US economy recovers, more people have jobs and buying power.  Decent economy plus cheap money translates to housing market recovery.  That is one of reason that a lot of us see the housing price going up and accelarating in 2016 and 2017.

As Federal Reserve Bank stoped the accomodated policy, started raising interest rates, money gets expensive, mortgage rates have been going up for the past year.  That is a shock to the home buyers, especially, young home buyers who have only seen the low mortgage rates, 5% for 30year fixed is too high for them.  My first mortgage rate was 11%!  With the high home price and mortgage rates, the housing market is going through an adjustment.  As long as US economy humming along, you will see the housing market activities coming back.

Another reason I think that the housing market is going through adjustment, not a crash, is that we are actually having a housing shortage!  Because the 08 crisis, we have not built enough housing units to keep up with the population growth!  

http://blog.wenxuecity.com/myblog/72332/201707/12960.html

 

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