养老金帐户,复利和长期投资思维。二

来源: 股市小书生 2016-12-19 09:44:11 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (1978 bytes)
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如果C投资者每年投资1万,从1986-1996年,共投资10万,加上市场平均的投资回报,应该可以有20万。

1996 年 20万资金

美国烟草公司,20年回报533万。

可口可乐,20年回报72万。

富国银行,20年回报225万。

强生公司,20年回报156万。

高度洁, 20年回报218万。

3M, 20年回报191万。

TD,20年回报423万。

如果30年前,C没有选择去投资这些家喻户晓的知名蓝筹股,那20年前为什么也没有呢?

“因为过去不代表将来。”- 这也算得上是个理由。这个话,我听过许多遍,也觉得确实不太好向这些人解释。

目前我也只能再重复一遍“最成功的投资大师都不去预测未来,可是有许许多多的普通人还是认为只有能预测未来,才可以投资成功。”

Warren Buffett 1998 Talk at University of Florida

“We never buy a stock with a price target in mind. We never buy something at 30 and say ‘if it goes to 40 we’ll sell it.’… That’s just not the right way to look at a business.”

Buffett obviously does buy and sell stocks—and did much more of that in his early years—but the concept is to focus on stocks not as trading vehicles with price targets, but as businesses that produce cash flow for owners. Mr. Market will always be there offering prices that can be taken advantage of, but the mindset should be firmly focused on the fundamentals of the business and its future earning power, not on where the stock will go or when it will get there.

C投资者最引起我兴趣的是,他有三十年的投资时间。

 

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