今天华尔街日报 WSJ 有篇文章中国一季增长 3.8-4.9%。。

来源: 三河匹夫 2015-04-27 13:27:46 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (1387 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ 三河匹夫 ] 在 2015-04-27 15:55:44 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-true-growth-is-a-mysteryeconomists-weigh-the-clues-1430071125

“When China released its tabulation of first-quarter growth earlier this month, the 7% figure—the worst in six years—stirred fears of a deepening slowdown.

It also raised fresh doubt about the trustworthiness of China’s own statistics. ”(二个账本?)

“Growth Likely Overstated,” said a Citibank report, concluding that actual quarterly growth could be below 6% year to year, depending on the factors weighed. Other research firms put their numbers far lower, with Capital Economics pegging the quarter at 4.9%, the Conference Board’s China Center at 4% and Lombard Street Research at 3.8%.

There also is suspicion the shortcomings involve willful doctoring rather than data-collection problems common to India and other developing countries.

“I have to laugh at the official estimates of 7% first-quarter GDP growth. I think that’s completely out of line,” Mr. Wu said.“

所有跟帖: 

3.8 也不错 -贪官- 给 贪官 发送悄悄话 贪官 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/27/2015 postreply 14:08:24

Growth rate is usually low in 1st quarter, -panlm_- 给 panlm_ 发送悄悄话 (143 bytes) () 04/27/2015 postreply 16:27:33

If only Chinese government dares to admit it, telling truth 7% i -三河匹夫- 给 三河匹夫 发送悄悄话 (12 bytes) () 04/27/2015 postreply 17:20:21

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