Also, you said:
美元金融体系是否会崩溃？我没有老兄这么悲观。即使崩溃，我相信也是一个长期的过程。
The process will be similar to the smooth running of a river followed by a waterfall: before the cliff drop we really don't know at what point the cliff drop/waterfall comes into sight, but once you see it, it's too late and you are going to drop with the water.
It is like Ernest Hemmingway describing bankrupcy: firstly slowly, then suddenly.
