美股趋势跟踪。（2/17/2019）

美股走势猜想：
	1，美股走势进入GREED MODEL，就是俗话所说的融涨阶段。历史上，融涨100%都是以暴跌或崩盘为结局。
	如果这次的融涨能够软着陆，那么融涨之后暴跌或崩盘的概率将改为99%。
	2，美股还有没有继续上涨的可能？答案是有。主要原因是CNN恐慌指数只有70。偏高，但
	是还没有达到高的极致。该指数每年都是有几次上冲80的贪婪情景。本次上冲75的可能性很大。
一，大盘综述。
INDEX			VALUE	NOTE
WEEKLY TREND				UP
DATLY TREND				UP,UP,UP
HOURLY TREND				UP,UP,UP
MARKET MOOD			8	OPTIMISM
MONEY FLOW			6	POSITIVE
GREED & FEAR (STOCK BREADTH)			90%	GREED
GREED & FEAR (VIX)			15	GREED
GREED & FEAR (CNN MONEY)			70	N/A
PUT /CALL RATIO			1:1.66	GREED
二，大盘趋势追踪。
		TREND VALUE	TREND	NOTE
死皮	SPY	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
老道	DIA	8	TREND UP	OVER BOUGHT GREEDY
纳斯达克	QQQ	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
小罗	IWM	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
中型股	MDY	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
微型股	IWC	6	TREND UP	OVER BOUGHT GREEDY
三，板块趋势追踪。
耐用消费品	XLY	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
日常消费品	XLP	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
能源	XLE	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
金融	XLF	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
医疗保健	XLV	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
科技	XLK	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
工业	XLI	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
材料	XLB	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
公用事业	XLU	10	TREND UP	PERFECT TO BUY
电信网络	VOX	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
地产	IYR	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
交通	IYT	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
房建	XHB	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
电子元件	SMH	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
国防工业	ITA	8	TREND UP	OVER BOUGHT GREEDY
高科技	FNG	-1	RANGE	SHORT AND HEDGE
大麻	HMMJ	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
制药	PPH	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
机器人	ROBO	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
银行	KBE	6	TREND UP	OVER BOUGHT GREEDY
四，商品趋势追踪。
黄金	GLD	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
白银	SLV	8	TREND UP	PERFECT TO BUY
石油	USO	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
天然气	UNG	-2	RANGE	FEAR
国债	TLT	10	TREND UP	PERFECT TO BUY
美元	UUP	8	TREND UP	PERFECT TO BUY
欧元	FXE	-6	RANGE	SHORT AND HEDGE
农作物	DBA	-5	RANGE	SHORT AND HEDGE
五，QQQ成份股趋势追踪。
	MSFT	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	AAPL	-2	TREND DOWN	SHORT AND HEDGE
	AMZN	-4	TREND DOWN	SHORT AND HEDGE
	GOOG	0	RANGE	WAIT TO BUY
	FB	-2	TREND DOWN	GREEDY
	GOOGL	0	RANGE	OVER SOLD
	INTC	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	CSCO	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	PEP	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	CMCSA	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	AMGN	4	TREND UP	PERFECT TO BUY
	NFLX	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
	ADBE	8	TREND UP	PERFECT TO BUY
	AVGO	10	TREND UP	GREEDY
	PYPL	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	TXN	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
	COST	6	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	NVDA	6	TREND UP	OVER SOLD GREEDY
	GILD	-1	RANGE	SHORT AND HEDGE
	BKNG	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	SBUX	10	TREND UP	PERFECT TO BUY
	QCOM	2	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	CHTR	10	TREND UP	GREEDY
	WBA	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	BIIB	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	MDLZ	10	TREND UP	GREEDY
	TSLA	0	TREND UP	PERFECT TO BUY
	ADP	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
	ISRG	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	TMUS	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	KHC	0	RANGE	WAIT TO BUY
	CSX	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
	INTU	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
	FOXA	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	BIDU	3	TREND UP	OVER SOLD
	ILMN	2	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	CELG	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
	VRTX	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	REGN	8	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	FOX	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	MAR	6	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	CTSH	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
	MU	6	TREND UP	GREEDY
	ATVI	0	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	AMAT	-4	TREND DOWN	GREEDY
	ADI	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
	SVXY	6	TREND UP	READY TO BUY
	FISV	8	TREND UP	GREEDY
	ADSK	10	TREND UP	GREEDY
	ORLY	10	TREND UP	READY TO BUY

所有跟帖： 

• 如果有以下数据将更有说服力 -auser- ♂ (185 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 19:06:40

• 美股虽然超买，但也跌不下来，一直要把熊熊手中的各种筹码熬到过期不值钱了，牛牛的仓位基本满仓的时候，大盘开始正式往下大调整。 -tzbcwbc- ♂ (0 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 19:40:54

• 谢谢！ -Aixiao- ♀ (0 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 19:55:08

• 是你搞出来的吗？非常专业，信息量巨大，非同小可，十分钦佩。 -闲看花开花落- ♂ (0 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 20:04:12

• 喜欢就好。 -双手互搏- ♂ (62 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 20:14:21

• 谢谢。请教：1，可以说说 为什么看好 TLT 吗？2，如何看 板块 BlockTrain，比如 SQ？ -闲看花开花落- ♂ (0 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 20:16:18

• BLOCK TRAIN 股票与ETF趋势追踪。 -双手互搏- ♂ (47099 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 20:42:05

• TLT从K线图上看也可能是在筑顶。 -双手互搏- ♂ (74 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 20:44:03

• Thanks -闲看花开花落- ♂ (0 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 21:16:17

• 十分感谢！你帖文中的许多看法，我基本上都是很认同或非常认同的 -闲看花开花落- ♂ (0 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 20:47:14

• PMEnergy100 看进来，黄金：READY TO BUY，白银：PERFECT TO BUY，和你所见略同 哈 -闲看花开花落- ♂ (0 bytes) () 02/17/2019 postreply 20:30:06

• 黄金在通胀年代有很强投资价值，但决不能短炒，所以在低谷买，长期持比较好，低谷一般在夏天 -PMEnergy100- ♂ (0 bytes) () 02/18/2019 postreply 01:10:57

• 白银肯定比黄金潜力更大，我认为增值或许在三倍，只要足够长时间，鈀最近两一年的表现或许就是白银以后的表现 -PMEnergy100- ♂ (0 bytes) () 02/18/2019 postreply 01:22:22