从历史数据来看,5%的调整可能性非常大了

来源: tmp001 2017-03-25 18:37:40 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (8896 bytes)
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以下是sp500 5%上涨幅度及周期(上涨周期超过50日),目前187日16.1,自2005年以来最长,确实需要小心了。

2005-04-20   1137 -   73  9.2                                                   
2005-10-13   1176 -  142 12.2                                                   
2006-06-13   1223 -  172 17.9                                                   
2007-03-05   1374 -   95 12.5                                                   
2009-07-08  879.0 -   72 22.6                                                   
2009-10-30   1036 -   53 10.6                                                   
2010-02-08   1056 -   52 14.3                                                   
2010-08-26   1047 -  122 25.3                                                   
2011-11-25   1158 -   87 20.7                                                   
2012-06-01   1278 -   73 13.9                                                   
2012-11-15   1353 -  127 21.3                                                   
2013-06-24   1573 -  142 16.4                                                   
2014-02-03   1741 -  158 14.7                                                   
2014-12-16   1972 -  147  8.1                                                   
2016-02-11   1829 -   81 14.9                                                   
2016-06-27   2000 -  187 16.1  

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我觉得下周开盘如果真涨的话其实比较好办:找机会加码做空就是了。 -考古学- 给 考古学 发送悄悄话 (145 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 19:08:52

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