目前不宜追高了-仅供参考

目前乐观情绪空前，但个人觉得大市缺乏创新高的条件。下表是一个以sp500 3%反向变化认定为趋势反转做的一个统计，记录了一个趋势持续时间及变化。最后一行表明这次反弹已持续了13日 幅度为8.3%。从2014年超过10%的涨势不多，最高的是去年9月29日开始的11.6%的反弹。

赚到钱的可慢慢落袋为安，股市无常，应时刻警觉。个人意见，仅供参考

2014-01-03   1831   1848   9   0.9                                            
  2014-01-16   1848   1741  12  -5.9                                            
  2014-02-04   1741   1890  41   8.3                                            
  2014-04-03   1890   1815   7  -4.0                                            
  2014-04-14   1815   1987  71   9.2                                            
  2014-07-25   1987   1909  10  -4.0                                            
  2014-08-08   1909   2011  29   5.2                                            
  2014-09-19   2011   1862  19  -7.6                                            
  2014-10-16   1862   2075  36  10.9                                            
  2014-12-08   2075   1972   7  -5.0                                            
  2014-12-17   1972   2090   8   5.9                                            
  2014-12-30   2090   1992  12  -4.7                                            
  2015-01-16   1992   2063   4   3.5                                            
  2015-01-23   2063   1994   6  -3.4                                            
  2015-02-02   1994   2117  20   6.0                                            
  2015-03-03   2117   2040   7  -3.7                                            
  2015-03-12   2040   2130  50   4.4                                            
  2015-05-22   2130   2046  32  -3.9                                            
  2015-07-09   2046   2128   8   3.9                                            
  2015-07-21   2128   1867  26 -12.9                                            
  2015-08-26   1867   1988   3   6.4                                            
  2015-08-31   1988   1913   2  -3.8                                            
  2015-09-02   1913   1995  10   4.3                                            
  2015-09-17   1995   1881   8  -5.8                                            
  2015-09-29   1881   2109  26  11.6                                            
  2015-11-04   2109   2023   8  -4.2                                            
  2015-11-16   2023   2102  11   3.8                                            
  2015-12-02   2102   2012   8  -4.3                                            
  2015-12-14   2012   2073   3   3.0                                            
  2015-12-17   2073   2005   2  -3.3                                            
  2015-12-21   2005   2078   6   3.6                                            
  2015-12-30   2078   1859  14 -11.0                                            
  2016-01-21   1859   1940   7   4.3                                            
  2016-02-01   1940   1829   9  -5.8                                            
  2016-02-12   1829   1986  13   8.3      

所有跟帖： 

• 股市怕风，但是怕什么来什么。 -喜得利- ♂ (239 bytes) () 03/02/2016 postreply 21:03:25

• 谢谢！ -bigcatwx- ♀ (0 bytes) () 03/02/2016 postreply 21:41:39

• 赞！ -Aixiao- ♀ (0 bytes) () 03/03/2016 postreply 02:00:19