分享一个气的新闻的链接：natural gas intelligence

这个网站是一个收费的网站，除了首页之外，你进入任何页面时，都会有一页出来挡住内容。但是你有一个办法不花钱还能看到内容的办法，就是查看页面的source，内容都在source里。比如你用IE浏览器，你可以点击浏览器上面的Tools-》WebDeveloper-》Page Source，那么html的源代码就会显示出来，你往下看，就会看到文章的内容夹在源代码里面。

http://www.naturalgasintel.com/

这是昨天收盘后的新闻：

Physical natural gas for Tuesday delivery rose sharply in Monday&#39;s trading as traders factored in higher next-day power demand and may have had to balance accounts for shortfalls incurred over the weekend.</p>
<p>
	Gains were greatest in the Northeast where prices on average jumped to close to a 50-cent gain, and shippers had to navigate pipeline restrictions. The <em>NGI</em> National Spot Gas Average added a stout 15 cents to $2.21. Elsewhere gains were broad, and with the exception of a few locations most market points rose by double digits.</p>
<p>
	Futures trading was not nearly as inspired. At the close, November had fallen a minuscule 0.1 cent to $2.450 and December had added 1.2 cents to $2.676. November crude oil added 72 cents to $46.26/bbl.</p>
<p>
	In the Northeast, pipeline restrictions and a firm power price environment prompted $1-plus jumps at some locations. Algonquin Gas Transmission (AGT) reported the continuation of an existing OFO but also reported restrictions west of its Stony Point Compressor Station as well as at the Southeast and Cromwell stations. AGT added that &quot;capacity may become available as the nomination and confirmation process continues throughout the day.&quot;</p>
<p>
	Next-day gas at the <a href="http://naturalgasintel.com/data/data_products/daily?region_id=northeast&amp;location_id=NEAALGCG" target="_blank">Algonquin Citygate</a> vaulted $1.57 to $3.04, and gas at <a href="http://naturalgasintel.com/data/data_products/daily?region_id=northeast&amp;location_id=NEAIROWAD" target="_blank">Iroquois, Waddington</a> surged 48 cents to $2.74. Gas on <a href="http://naturalgasintel.com/data/data_products/daily?region_id=northeast&amp;location_id=NEATENN6L200" target="_blank">Tenn Zone 6 200L</a> gained a hefty $1.58 to $2.89.</p>
<p>
	Intercontinental Exchange reported that on-peak power for Tuesday delivery at the ISO New England Hub added $6.89 to $34.45/MWh and power delivered Tuesday to the PJM West Hub gained $3.86 to $36.36/MWh. PJM Interconnection reported that forecast peak load Monday of 30,590 MW would increase to 31,797 MW Tuesday.</p>
<p>
	Other market hubs rose as well. Gas at the <a href="http://www.naturalgasintel.com/data/data_products/daily?region_id=midwest11&amp;location_id=MCWCCITY" target="_blank">Chicago Citygate</a> rose 7 cents to $2.35, and deliveries to the <a href="http://naturalgasintel.com/data/data_products/daily?region_id=south-louisiana&amp;location_id=SLAHH" target="_blank">Henry Hub</a> added 6 cents to $2.32. Gas on <a href="http://naturalgasintel.com/data/data_products/daily?region_id=west-texas/se-new-mexico&amp;location_id=WTXEPP" target="_blank">El Paso Permian</a> jumped 12 cents to $2.25, and packages headed for the <a href="http://naturalgasintel.com/data/data_products/daily?region_id=california&amp;location_id=CALSCG" target="_blank">SoCal Citygate</a> rose a stout 32 cents to $2.64.</p>
<p>
	Production gains are becoming more difficult. In a report, Genscape, a Louisville, KY-based provider of real-time data and intelligence for commodity and energy markets, said, &quot;Lower 48 production continues to plateau since the April 2015 peak. Gains in the East region are mainly being offset by losses in the Producing and West regions. Overall, Lower 48 dry gas production has been fluctuating between 74 and 72 Bcf/d since April 2015. A higher than expected maintenance season, combined with low oil and gas prices are all contributing to the plateau in production.&quot;</p>
<p>
	Futures traders said activity was light but viewed technical support at &quot;$2.40 initially, and $2.35 under that. It&#39;s inevitable that we will see higher numbers,&quot; a New York floor trader told <em>NGI</em>.</p>
<p>
	Risk managers are looking for a lower spot to enter the long side of the market. &quot;The gas market has been under pressure this entire summer because of moderate temperatures, plentiful supply and plummeting commodities in general,&quot; said Mike DeVooght, president of DEVO Capital, a Colorado-based trading and risk management firm. &quot;As we look forward to the heat season, which can often be supportive to the gas market, demand expectations have been ratcheted lower because of the El Nino.</p>
<p>
	&quot;On a trade basis, we have been looking for an opportunity to get long the natural gas market but have not felt like we have yet reached the bottom of this move. We would start to be a light buyer if January reaches the $2.50 level.&quot; DeVooght recommends buying January futures for both end-users and trading accounts should the contract trade that low. January futures settled at $2.798 Friday.</p>
<p>
	All indications are that the El Nino will be one of the strongest on record. &quot;The atmospheric response to the equatorial sea-surface temperature anomalies, measured by their atmospheric ENSO index, is the strongest event since at least 1948,&quot; said Todd Crawford, a meteorologist at WSI Corp.</p>
<p>
	Typical impacts of an El Nino are the southern United States from California to the Carolinas then up through parts of the East Coast become wetter, but parts of the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes, Northwest and Northern Rockies are drier.</p>
<p>
	The desert Southwest, Southern Plains, northern Gulf Coast are cooler, but the northern tier of states from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Plains, Great Lakes and Northeast are warmer. &quot;These are impacts that are typically expected, but they aren&#39;t always the rule,&quot; The Weather Channel said.</p>
<p>
	Tom Saal, vice president at FC Stone Latin America LLC, put it succinctly: &quot;El Nino means low gas prices.&quot;</p>
<p>
	One analyst doesn&#39;t see too much downside remaining in the near term, but the spring contracts could be highly vulnerable to high ending inventories.</p>
<p>
	&quot;While the most extreme cold scenario would have the market exiting March at over 1 Tcf, assuming a production average of around 72.5 Bcf/d through the five months, a warm scenario has the potential to drive that level well above record highs. Thus we see the March through May contracts as highly vulnerable to downside pressure under anything less than a normal to cold weather scenario,&quot; said Breanne Dougherty, an analyst with Societe Generale in New York, in a report.</p>
<p>
	&quot;We don&#39;t see much material downside left here given how the market has bounced off the $2.55/MMBtu level all summer and the lack of risk of storage containment type price pressure. We see the curve as predisposed to upside from here through mid-December...beyond that, though, we are bearish through June 2016.&quot;</p>

 

一般来说，每天开盘和收盘时，这个网站都有一个报道。

 

另外， 我跟踪了几年，FirstEnercastFinancial的分析师Ben Smith对库存的预测基本靠谱，他每个星期一贴出自己对本周和下面三周的库存的预测，同时有一点说明。本周的链接在这里：

http://www.firstenercastfinancial.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2994

一般来说，到星期三会有人把各家机构的预测贴出来，这些机构里，最重要的要看Bentek和Robry。Bentek有第一手的厂家资料，Robry好像也是有直接的第一手资料。如果Bentek和Robry预测相近的话，基本本周的库存就在他们的预测之内。

 

还有，对天气关心的同学们，可以直接看这个网页：

http://www.ngwdd.com/

这个网页是根据天气预报折算出一个需要天然气的指数（NG weighted degree days），指数越大，天然气的需求越高。每天0点，6点，12点，18点天气预报模型都会更新新的数据，这家网页就会及时更新指数。

 

所有跟帖： 

• 贴出来就行了,你这一说人家就改成no show source code了嘛 -TGI- ♀ (0 bytes) () 10/06/2015 postreply 04:21:10

• 帮你重贴一下 -☆003☆- ♂ (8167 bytes) () 10/06/2015 postreply 04:34:41

• 谢谢！这几个网站很有用 -xiangaoma- ♂ (0 bytes) () 10/06/2015 postreply 07:04:56