关于预测

抄一段大师的话

The most interesting thing about forecasting is that it is never accurate. It is always based on today's knowledge, which is almost always wrong when applied to the future.

The unpridictablility of cyclical patterns is the only constant.
Every cycle is different, even when the underlying causes and effects appear the same.

所有跟帖： 

• 猫啊，你太厉害了 -刀削面同學- ♂ (271 bytes) () 12/18/2014 postreply 19:38:59

• 下周出海，不看股市。明天看最后一天 -cat18- ♀ (0 bytes) () 12/18/2014 postreply 19:41:11

• 嗯，海腥味 -刀削面同學- ♂ (97 bytes) () 12/18/2014 postreply 19:42:32

• 这是哪位大师说的？ -12qw- ♀ (39 bytes) () 12/18/2014 postreply 19:46:10

• 一本技术分析的书。 cruise -cat18- ♀ (0 bytes) () 12/18/2014 postreply 19:49:36

• 那是最烂的预测。 -了于意- ♀ (0 bytes) () 12/18/2014 postreply 19:50:16