Somany holes in your reasoning...

1. "接下来美元要猛攻黄金，黄金一倒..."

How are they going to attack gold? Without real physical gold to back up the attack, all they can do is to sell naked gold futures contracts.  With the long side of players standing for physical delivery (Russia, China, Texas Uni... and lately even Mexico..), any short selling attack will be shortlived and destined to fail;

2. "只要美元一回流，..."

and that, is the Archilis heel of the logic.  The return of huge amount of US dollar back to US will fuel hyperinflation within the US and terminate the US dollars' global reserve and trade currency status on which the US empire's life relies. The return of these US dollars back to US will be a result of global selling, and how is that going to make the US dollar strong?

3. "过去10年美元强化了和石油的挂钩..."

Wrong. Saudi Arabia recently suspended USD$60 billion worth of weapons deal with the US, and late last year the Saudis announced increased central bank gold reserves. India announce early this year that they will pay Euros for some of their oil imports.  Yes the US has occupied Iraq, but that country has just annouced reduction of oil production by 50% over the next five years.  A stronger USD-oil appliance?  

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• So many, not "somany", my typo... -hercules007- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/08/2011 postreply 16:01:42