70%的可能性是撒谎，因为：

https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/21/business/tesla-fsd-8-car-crash/index.html

1. 事故发生在高速公路上，FSD的高速公路版本还没有推出；如果是软件错误，也是AP的问题

2. 过去如果出现这样的报道，一般是司机自己的错误：

"California Highway Patrol said in the Dec. 7 report that it could not confirm if “full self-driving” was active at the time of the crash. A highway patrol spokesperson told CNN Business on Wednesday that it would not determine if “full self-driving” was active, and Tesla would have that information."