寿命和退休年龄的关系

刚才看到下面一个帖，很想反驳一下。

http://bbs.wenxuecity.com/tzlc/1302664.html

这个波音的数剧是假的，波音自己已经辟谣了。文章在这里。

https://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-18952037

节选一下文章的内容如下:

"A paper attributed to the aircraft-maker Boeing shows that employees who retire at 55 live to, on average, 83. But those who retire at 65 only last, on average, another 18 months..

The "Boeing study" has been quoted by newspapers, magazines and pundits. It's circulated on the internet for years. The problem with it is that Boeing itself says it's simply not true.

Putting Boeing to one side, then, is there any other evidence which might support the idea that retiring early prolongs life? Surprisingly, perhaps, the truth may be the precise opposite: the later you retire, the longer you live."

"Epidemiologists at the oil firm Shell carried out a study of past employees in the US, which found that mortality was slightly earlier - on average - for staff who retired at 55, than for those who continued working to 65.

But the actuary Dave Grimshaw says we need to be very careful about what conclusions we draw from the Shell data. The statistical waters, he says, are muddied by the fact that people retire at different ages for different reasons."

 

还有Harvard Business Review 的文章如下: you are likely to live longer if you retire after 65

https://hbr.org/2016/10/youre-likely-to-live-longer-if-you-retire-after-65

 

这是社安局的调查报告。报告很长，很专业，没有耐心看完的可以直接看最后的结论：

https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/workingpapers/wp93.html

"Evidence from the updated 1973 Exact Match suggests that men retiring early are likely to die sooner than men retiring later."

"This study also finds a significant difference in mortality risk for men retiring exactly at age 62 relative to men retiring at age 62 and 3 months to age 62 and 11 months, at age 63, and at age 64."

 

还有一篇文章比较中肯：

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-2430399/Retirement-age-NO-impact-life-expectancy.html

• Previous research has suggested that people who retire young die earlier as they lose their social networks and mental and physical activity
• Other studies have suggested people who work for longer die earlier as they are subjected to stress and exertion for longer
• New study is most comprehensive yet and shows no correlation between retirement age and life expectancy for people who choose when to retire

客观地说一句，寿命和退休年龄没有什么关系。只要财务自由了，爱上班就接着上班，不爱上班就做自己喜欢的。

所有跟帖： 

• 社安局的调查报告你也信？conflict of interest 他们入不敷出，早就盼着大家70退休。 -sayusayme- ♀ (0 bytes) () 02/22/2019 postreply 13:33:26

• 社安局的报告应该是准的。早退休的寿命短的一个可能是身体不好的选择早退休。 -如尘- ♀ (0 bytes) () 02/22/2019 postreply 13:46:18

• 寿命长短主要决定于自己基因的好坏，和退休早晚没有必然联系！ -than- ♂ (205 bytes) () 02/22/2019 postreply 15:33:11