2014, 69.7 bcf/d = 20bcf per week extra production
2015, 71.1 bcf/d
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (or EIA)—in its Short-Term Energy Outlook (or STEO) released in September 2014
2Bcf/day pipeline wait to come online between Nov- Dec.
Ben in Firstencast mentioned in Hutson energy Conference:
"most vendors at the conference cited expectations of +5bcf/d yoy domestic production this winter.
reasoning:
lack of freeze-offs if normal winter is experienced, growth in pipe/processing, large backlog of wells awaiting tie-in. "
Look at Weather of OCT-Dec. 2-3 degree higher than normal...according to current weather and large supply, there will be 3-4 week injection November the deficit will be disappeared, at that time, it will be really Bull shit time.
I don't think 天然气ugaz在向上突破, it will be really hard back to $17-$18 this year.
Good Luck!