根据 Elliott 的波形理论，纳指目前应该正处在 第五波(Wave-5,其第一波Wave-1始自2009年）之第五波（Wave-V, 其第一波 Wave-I 始自2016年）的第五波（Wave-(5), 其第一波 Wave-(1) 始自2017年8月）。
因为有同学不是很清楚这些波段是如何“数”出来的，所以在这里贴上几图，供大家参考。
按照E的理论，在五个波段中它的第三波永远都不会是最小的一个，因此我们大概可以推断，这Wave-5 之 第五波（Wave-V)之第五波Wave-(5) 的终极目标应该在6750 至6777之间。
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The following statement is a ZT from the stockcharts.com:
The three rules are:
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Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
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Wave 3 can never be the shortest of waves 1, 3, and 5.
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Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1.
Elliott Wave is not a trading technique. There are no specific rules of entry and exit, and no one “right” way to use it in trading. As a result, the use of Elliott Wave has been avoided by many traders and technical analysts, not due to a lack of understanding but because of the apparent subjective nature of how it may be applied. Nonetheless, there are those who have successfully used Elliott Wave patterns in their trading and the study continues to attract a wide following, both with individual investors as well as professional traders. Advocates tend to apply various indicators to help them in trading specific Elliott Wave patterns, although those techniques are unique to the people who developed them.
If you are going to perform Elliott Wave analysis, you will be making “wave-counts”. This simply means that you will be labeling the waves to see how they conform to the Elliott Wave pattern so you can anticipate market movement.
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Happy Trading!
